Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CARLOS ANTONIO LOPEZ / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CARLOS ANTONIO LOPEZ / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-011-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CARLOS ANTONIO LOPEZ / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-9096e7e9826ac0fe8b089975
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO57.3%
  • ALIANZA TRICOLOR CARLOS ANTONIO LOPEZ15.4%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU15.2%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA12.1%
Results for event-8c63f364eef7e7b3bfe24178
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HERNAN DAVID CUBAS MIÑOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,69957.3%7Recorded
ALIANZA TRICOLOR CARLOS ANTONIO LOPEZ · CONSTANCIO SANCHEZ MARTINEZATRICALparaguay/S82789e1ede/202199715.4%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/202198415.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/202178012.1%1Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO49.6%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU32.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO18.2%
Results for event-1879e749d75cae035b0080d0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SILVANA ELIZABETH GONZALEZ ESCURRAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,55949.6%6Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · NINFA GONZALEZ DELVALLEFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,65632.1%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201594018.2%2Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO39.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO24.7%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA20.9%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO4.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL2.9%
  • ITAPUA POTY2.8%
Results for event-f64651eaaa973eb1871b970f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SILVANA ELIZABETH GONZALEZ ESCURRAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,72639.8%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · PERFECTO MORINIGO GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,07424.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · ISABELINO BALBUENA SERVIANPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201090620.9%3Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101964.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · GLORIA BEATRIZ PEREIRA VILLALBAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101964.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · ERNESTO DAMIAN LOPEZ LOPEZM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101242.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ITAPUA POTY · JOSE TORRESIPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101202.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=41.8266253869969, oldest_gap=15.016121602947951, previous_gap=17.516973811833175

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.13percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[57.26006191950464,0,0,0,0,15.23219814241486,27.507739938080498],[49.641125121241515,18.234723569350145,0,0,0,32.12415130940834,0],[39.75126669737448,24.73514509442653,0,0,4.514048825426071,0,30.999539382772916]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[57.26006191950464,0,0,0,0,15.23219814241486,27.507739938080498],[49.641125121241515,18.234723569350145,0,0,0,32.12415130940834,0],[39.75126669737448,24.73514509442653,0,0,4.514048825426071,0,30.999539382772916]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[57.26006191950464,0,0,0,0,15.23219814241486,27.507739938080498],[49.641125121241515,18.234723569350145,0,0,0,32.12415130940834,0],[39.75126669737448,24.73514509442653,0,0,4.514048825426071,0,30.999539382772916]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CARLOS ANTONIO LOPEZ / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-011-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.