Office briefing
CAPITAN MIRANDA / ITAPUA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · CAPITAN MIRANDA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · MayorPY-07-009-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- CAPITAN MIRANDA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-0cf4d8f7d565a57818f19fd2
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO73.4%
- ALIANZA CAPITAN MIRANDA GANA12.6%
- MOV UNIDOS POR CAPITAN MIRANDA9.5%
- ALIANZA SI SE PUEDE4.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · OTMAR LUCIANO BECKER DANIELI | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,681 | 73.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA CAPITAN MIRANDA GANA · JULIO ALFREDO CHAPARRO ENRIQUEZ | ACMGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 633 | 12.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOV UNIDOS POR CAPITAN MIRANDA · VICTOR OMAR LOPEZ ROJAS | MUCMparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 477 | 9.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA SI SE PUEDE · RUBEN BRONSTRUP CHUPKA | SSPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 227 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO59.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO25.9%
- PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD15.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · BASILIO GURA HAIN | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,281 | 59% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN MARCELO BENITEZ PAREDES | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,000 | 25.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD · OSCAR ALFREDO SCHAPOVALOFF MULLER | PJparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 583 | 15.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO54.0%
- JUNTOS POR CAP. MIRANDA46.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · BASILIO GURA HAIN | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,538 | 54% | 1 | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR CAP. MIRANDA · LUCIO VALDEZ GIMENEZ | JPCMparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,310 | 46% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=60.74133120765245, oldest_gap=8.00561797752809, previous_gap=33.15217391304348
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility25.88percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[73.35591869270625,0,0,0,0,0,26.644081307293746],[59.03209109730849,25.87991718426501,0,0,0,0,15.087991718426501],[54.002808988764045,0,0,0,0,0,45.997191011235955]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility30.91percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[73.35591869270625,0,0,0,0,0,26.644081307293746],[59.03209109730849,25.87991718426501,0,0,0,0,15.087991718426501],[54.002808988764045,0,0,0,0,0,45.997191011235955]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility28.39percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[73.35591869270625,0,0,0,0,0,26.644081307293746],[59.03209109730849,25.87991718426501,0,0,0,0,15.087991718426501],[54.002808988764045,0,0,0,0,0,45.997191011235955]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “CAPITAN MIRANDA / ITAPUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.