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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAPITAN MEZA / ITAPUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CAPITAN MEZA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-007-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAPITAN MEZA / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-3febae325ee83065a1bb5ba3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO59.5%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR CAPITAN MEZA32.1%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS8.4%
Results for event-f8117d0b54dfbba509019250
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ESTEBAN DANIEL GANSEL SAUERANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,71459.5%7Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR CAPITAN MEZA · RAMON ELIAS ACEVEDO AMARILLAAUPCMparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,46532.1%4Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MARIO RAMON TILLERIA FLORESUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213858.4%1Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO68.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO17.3%
  • PARTIDO UNACE14.6%
Results for event-d8a833300afa29d1fffad807
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN SOLINGER SANTANDERANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,38568.1%9Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RAMON MELANIO NUÑEZ ACUÑAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201560517.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201551014.6%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO61.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO14.7%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA14.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS9.4%
Results for event-bb5db9093b19171d811fdc8c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GERMAN SOLINGER SANTANDERANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,81561.4%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FEDERICO ERNESTO HUEMER RICHTERPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201043514.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · RICARDO DALISTAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201042914.5%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAMON ARSENIO RETAMOZO GARCETEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102789.4%1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.366345311130587, oldest_gap=46.66892120392289, previous_gap=50.857142857142854

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[59.46538124452235,0,0,0,8.43558282208589,0,32.09903593339176],[68.14285714285714,17.285714285714285,0,0,14.571428571428571,0,0],[61.379776800811634,14.710855596888738,0,14.507947243828204,9.401420358471423,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.51percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[59.46538124452235,0,0,0,8.43558282208589,0,32.09903593339176],[68.14285714285714,17.285714285714285,0,0,14.571428571428571,0,0],[61.379776800811634,14.710855596888738,0,14.507947243828204,9.401420358471423,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[59.46538124452235,0,0,0,8.43558282208589,0,32.09903593339176],[68.14285714285714,17.285714285714285,0,0,14.571428571428571,0,0],[61.379776800811634,14.710855596888738,0,14.507947243828204,9.401420358471423,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAPITAN MEZA / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-007-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.