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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ENCARNACION / ITAPUA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · ENCARNACION / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · MayorPY-07-000-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ENCARNACION / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-2bacf2c4cb6078449d5a64f2
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA ENCARNACION AL FRENTE58.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO41.2%
Results for event-b83afd75f4f652d4e2e930c7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA ENCARNACION AL FRENTE · ALFREDO LUIS YD SANCHEZAEFparaguay/S82789e1ede/202126,54858.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · CESAR ALBINI ROJAS NUÑEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202118,63341.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA ENCARNACION AL FRENTE48.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.8%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD1.2%
Results for event-20c6dd1b8ab6f2f96a790de4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA ENCARNACION AL FRENTE · ALFREDO LUIS YD SANCHEZAEFparaguay/S82789e1ede/201516,47648%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOEL OMAR MAIDANA VEGAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201516,39247.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · BLAS OSVALDO BRIZUELA AZUAGAPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20159982.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD · FRANCISCO GIMENEZPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154251.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2013-12-01

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Coloradounknown
Results for event-c42b170874c2b03a0309704d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido Colorado · JOEL OMAR MAIDANA VEGAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2013UnknownUnknown1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2010-11-07 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.5184258869879, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=0.244962234988769

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[41.24078705650605,0,0,0,0,0,58.75921294349395],[47.80263042780905,0,2.910384649033274,0,0,0,49.28698492315768],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[41.24078705650605,0,0,0,0,0,58.75921294349395],[47.80263042780905,0,2.910384649033274,0,0,0,49.28698492315768],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[41.24078705650605,0,0,0,0,0,58.75921294349395],[47.80263042780905,0,2.910384649033274,0,0,0,49.28698492315768],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ENCARNACION / ITAPUA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-000-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.