Office briefing
TAVAI / CAAZAPA — Municipal council
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · TAVAI / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-06-015-C
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- TAVAI / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-8a804ccc501c0e58db03f7a2
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO61.9%
- ALIANZA TAVAI DIFERENTE16.0%
- PARTIDO HAGAMOS14.7%
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA3.9%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.2%
- PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · MIGUEL ANTONIO BOGADO MARTINEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,814 | 61.9% | 7 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA TAVAI DIFERENTE · BENIGNO BAEZ VILLALBA | ATDparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 985 | 16% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO HAGAMOS · LILIAN ROSANA BOGADO CORREA | PPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 903 | 14.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 243 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · VICTOR JUAN LEIVA SILVA | CNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 134 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR | PMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 78 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO64.5%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU19.7%
- ALIANZA TAVAI DIFERENTE15.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · MIGUEL ANTONIO BOGADO MARTINEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,742 | 64.5% | 6 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HERNAN PEREIRA AREVALOS | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 836 | 19.7% | 2 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA TAVAI DIFERENTE · NOLBERTO VERA CHAPARRO | ATDparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 673 | 15.8% | 1 | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO45.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.3%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS8.7%
- FRENTE GUASU7.6%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL3.5%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · ALBA BEATRIZ CORREA DUARTE | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,561 | 45% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · BENIGNO BAEZ VILLALBA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,190 | 34.3% | 3 | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · EDER ALBERTO FERNANDEZ BRIZUELA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 301 | 8.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| FRENTE GUASU | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 262 | 7.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · RICARDO SOZONTE MARTINEZ | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 122 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · MIGUEL ANGEL FERNANDEZ SEGOVIA | PDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 30 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=45.947701802826046, oldest_gap=10.703981534910561, previous_gap=44.83650905669255
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility20.05percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[61.94575280168913,0,0,3.946727302257593,0,2.1763846028910185,31.931135293162253],[64.50247000705717,0,0,0,0,19.66596095036462,15.831569042578217],[45.03750721292556,34.333525678015,0,0,8.684362377380266,7.559145989613387,4.385458742065782]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility43.02percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[61.94575280168913,0,0,3.946727302257593,0,2.1763846028910185,31.931135293162253],[64.50247000705717,0,0,0,0,19.66596095036462,15.831569042578217],[45.03750721292556,34.333525678015,0,0,8.684362377380266,7.559145989613387,4.385458742065782]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility31.53percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[61.94575280168913,0,0,3.946727302257593,0,2.1763846028910185,31.931135293162253],[64.50247000705717,0,0,0,0,19.66596095036462,15.831569042578217],[45.03750721292556,34.333525678015,0,0,8.684362377380266,7.559145989613387,4.385458742065782]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “TAVAI / CAAZAPA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-015-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.