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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MACIEL / CAAZAPA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MACIEL / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · MayorPY-06-011-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MACIEL / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-b42a4856268603b683bac4b2
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO85.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO7.2%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS7.0%
Results for event-d738c379b990c0f2524ed72f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS ALBERTO LEDESMA DELGADOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,71885.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ARNALDO VERA BENITEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211457.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · VICTOR AMARILLA LARROZAPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211417%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO100.0%
Results for event-2c417f2781e74e75ffbfcdf1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS ALBERTO LEDESMA DELGADOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,262100%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS40.8%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA0.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO0.3%
Results for event-e491bd1fc9c7626f887df156
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · AMADEO ALBERTO LEDESMA ORTIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,15758.6%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RUBEN ROBER CANO GUERREROUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201080440.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · PAUBLINO BENITEZ GABILANPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201070.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ISIDRO BENITEZ AMARILLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201050.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=78.49301397205589, oldest_gap=17.891535732387226, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[85.72854291417165,7.235528942115768,0,0,0,0,7.0359281437125745],[100,0,0,0,0,0,0],[58.641662442980234,0.25342118601115055,0,0,40.75012671059301,0,0.3547896604156107]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[85.72854291417165,7.235528942115768,0,0,0,0,7.0359281437125745],[100,0,0,0,0,0,0],[58.641662442980234,0.25342118601115055,0,0,40.75012671059301,0,0.3547896604156107]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[85.72854291417165,7.235528942115768,0,0,0,0,7.0359281437125745],[100,0,0,0,0,0,0],[58.641662442980234,0.25342118601115055,0,0,40.75012671059301,0,0.3547896604156107]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MACIEL / CAAZAPA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-011-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.