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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GRAL. MORINIGO / CAAZAPA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · GRAL. MORINIGO / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · MayorPY-06-009-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GRAL. MORINIGO / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-c41a29a43ddf6e81bc32e52c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO86.2%
  • ALIANZA MORINIGUENSE12.8%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS0.9%
Results for event-ff84a2573ac600a947e23328
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE OMAR CUEVAS CHAPARROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,26286.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA MORINIGUENSE · HUMBERTO MUZACHI ESPINOLAAMparaguay/S82789e1ede/202133712.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · MIGUEL ANGEL CHAMORROPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021240.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.5%
Results for event-846b0e4b48145e7905bafe49
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE OMAR CUEVAS CHAPARROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,70958.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN RAMON ROJAS VILLALBAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,21341.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO37.8%
  • FRENTE GUASU9.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.3%
  • ALIANZA TODOS JUNTOS POR GRAL. MORINIGO0.3%
Results for event-9b6836e6f7894af72ba569d5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN RAMON ROJAS VILLALBAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,11447.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · MAXIMINO MERCADO TROCHEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201087937.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · DAMIAN ARGUELLO RODRIGUEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102239.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · PEDRO VILLAVERDE SERVIANUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101004.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA TODOS JUNTOS POR GRAL. MORINIGO · MILCIADES GIMENEZ PERALTAATJGMparaguay/S82789e1ede/201080.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=73.38924895158216, oldest_gap=10.111876075731494, previous_gap=16.974674880219027

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.51percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[86.23713305375524,0,0,0,0,0,13.762866946244758],[58.48733744010951,41.51266255989049,0,0,0,0,0],[37.822719449225474,47.93459552495697,0,0,4.3029259896729775,9.59552495697074,0.3442340791738382]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[86.23713305375524,0,0,0,0,0,13.762866946244758],[58.48733744010951,41.51266255989049,0,0,0,0,0],[37.822719449225474,47.93459552495697,0,0,4.3029259896729775,9.59552495697074,0.3442340791738382]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[86.23713305375524,0,0,0,0,0,13.762866946244758],[58.48733744010951,41.51266255989049,0,0,0,0,0],[37.822719449225474,47.93459552495697,0,0,4.3029259896729775,9.59552495697074,0.3442340791738382]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GRAL. MORINIGO / CAAZAPA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.