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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GRAL. MORINIGO / CAAZAPA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · GRAL. MORINIGO / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-06-009-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GRAL. MORINIGO / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-b57fb41fac70d609588dce29
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO84.2%
  • ALIANZA MORINIGUENSE12.4%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS2.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.3%
Results for event-353604b53dd8ba07a5d84711
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE OMAR CUEVAS CHAPARROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,23684.2%8Recorded
ALIANZA MORINIGUENSE · HUMBERTO MUZACHI ESPINOLAAMparaguay/S82789e1ede/202132812.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · MIGUEL ANGEL CHAMORROPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021562.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021351.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO52.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU10.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA0.9%
Results for event-5300beabf0cd75bea046b6b8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE OMAR CUEVAS CHAPARROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,45352.5%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN RAMON ROJAS VILLALBAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,00036.1%3Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201528910.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015260.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO38.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.1%
  • FRENTE GUASU9.6%
  • ALIANZA TODOS JUNTOS POR GRAL. MORINIGO5.8%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA4.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.8%
Results for event-27188e10453ac722469aa080
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN RAMON ROJAS VILLALBAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201087838.4%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · MAXIMINO MERCADO TROCHEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201087038.1%4Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · DAMIAN ARGUELLO RODRIGUEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102209.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA TODOS JUNTOS POR GRAL. MORINIGO · MILCIADES GIMENEZ PERALTAATJGMparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101335.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010984.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · PEDRO VILLAVERDE SERVIANUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010873.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=71.86440677966102, oldest_gap=0.3499562554680651, previous_gap=16.365606936416185

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[84.21845574387947,0,0,0,0,1.3182674199623352,14.46327683615819],[52.49277456647399,36.127167630057805,0,0,0,10.440751445086706,0.9393063583815029],[38.05774278215223,38.4076990376203,0,0,3.8057742782152233,9.623797025371829,10.10498687664042]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[84.21845574387947,0,0,0,0,1.3182674199623352,14.46327683615819],[52.49277456647399,36.127167630057805,0,0,0,10.440751445086706,0.9393063583815029],[38.05774278215223,38.4076990376203,0,0,3.8057742782152233,9.623797025371829,10.10498687664042]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[84.21845574387947,0,0,0,0,1.3182674199623352,14.46327683615819],[52.49277456647399,36.127167630057805,0,0,0,10.440751445086706,0.9393063583815029],[38.05774278215223,38.4076990376203,0,0,3.8057742782152233,9.623797025371829,10.10498687664042]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GRAL. MORINIGO / CAAZAPA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-009-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.