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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

DR. MOISES BERTONI / CAAZAPA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · DR. MOISES BERTONI / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · MayorPY-06-005-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
DR. MOISES BERTONI / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-a01fd82213cbf580024c9181
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO82.5%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA15.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO2.5%
Results for event-9e3a162bcadcaf30951dab2a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE RAMON TROCHE ROJASANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,90182.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · JESUS ARIEL VAZQUEZPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/202134615%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MARCIANO VILLALBA GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021572.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO91.8%
  • ALIANZA BERTONI DIFERENTE8.2%
Results for event-576539e44c43afb1670bf605
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MOISES ULISES MARTINEZ BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,73191.8%1Recorded
ALIANZA BERTONI DIFERENTE · JORGE YAMIL ESPINOLA CANDIAABDparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151548.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO70.9%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA26.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO2.0%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.6%
Results for event-41c0bb75019bff85887eb195
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · BLAS REINOSO CANDIA TROCHEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,31970.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · NICOLAS ESPINOLA BAREIROPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201049326.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MARCIANO VILLALBA GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010382%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ROGELIO EFREN GUERREROUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010110.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=67.49131944444444, oldest_gap=44.38473938742611, previous_gap=83.66047745358091

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[82.50868055555556,2.4739583333333335,0,15.01736111111111,0,0,0],[91.83023872679045,0,0,0,0,0,8.169761273209549],[70.87587318645889,2.0419129500268673,0,0,0.5910800644814616,0,26.491133799032777]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[82.50868055555556,2.4739583333333335,0,15.01736111111111,0,0,0],[91.83023872679045,0,0,0,0,0,8.169761273209549],[70.87587318645889,2.0419129500268673,0,0,0.5910800644814616,0,26.491133799032777]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[82.50868055555556,2.4739583333333335,0,15.01736111111111,0,0,0],[91.83023872679045,0,0,0,0,0,8.169761273209549],[70.87587318645889,2.0419129500268673,0,0,0.5910800644814616,0,26.491133799032777]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “DR. MOISES BERTONI / CAAZAPA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-005-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.