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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

BUENA VISTA / CAAZAPA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · BUENA VISTA / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · MayorPY-06-003-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
BUENA VISTA / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-43d9c4865977ede1b4bd0107
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.4%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS46.6%
Results for event-51fa7702b06d50f88aa636da
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JULIO CESAR TALAVERA BALMACEDAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,96453.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS · ESTANISLAO SILVERO ARGUELLOAJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,71646.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA PATRIOTICA BUENA VISTEÑA52.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.5%
Results for event-b456e82e600b20f12c256737
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PATRIOTICA BUENA VISTEÑA · ESTANISLAO SILVERO ARGUELLOAPBVparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,80452.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · EDGAR RAMON LARRAMENDIA VERAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,63247.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO50.1%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO36.2%
  • FRENTE GUASU13.4%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.4%
Results for event-2229bf8029d1a96146c49dbd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GREGORIO SILVEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,49750.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · EXPEDITO BLAS DELGADO BRITOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,08036.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · MARINO AGUINAGALDE REYESFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201039913.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · PEDRO REYES BARRETOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010110.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

65.290–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.739130434782609, oldest_gap=13.960495480415133, previous_gap=5.005820721769496

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.369565217391305,0,0,0,0,0,46.630434782608695],[47.49708963911525,0,0,0,0,0,52.50291036088475],[36.15667894208236,50.11717442249749,0,0,0.3682624707063944,13.35788416471376,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.369565217391305,0,0,0,0,0,46.630434782608695],[47.49708963911525,0,0,0,0,0,52.50291036088475],[36.15667894208236,50.11717442249749,0,0,0.3682624707063944,13.35788416471376,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.369565217391305,0,0,0,0,0,46.630434782608695],[47.49708963911525,0,0,0,0,0,52.50291036088475],[36.15667894208236,50.11717442249749,0,0,0.3682624707063944,13.35788416471376,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “BUENA VISTA / CAAZAPA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-003-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.