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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

BUENA VISTA / CAAZAPA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · BUENA VISTA / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-06-003-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
BUENA VISTA / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-b72757705b650c56b3b679f2
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO31.4%
  • PARTIDO DEL FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEETE15.8%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL2.0%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR1.8%
Results for event-dc8024323b39c6bee2f13bbc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JULIO CESAR TALAVERA BALMACEDAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,80848.9%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,16231.4%3Recorded
PARTIDO DEL FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEETEPFPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/202158515.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONALPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021742%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULARPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021661.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA PATRIOTICA BUENA VISTEÑA48.3%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.5%
  • PARTIDO UNACE5.2%
Results for event-80a9ca6502726239628c2066
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PATRIOTICA BUENA VISTEÑA · ESTANISLAO SILVERO ARGUELLOAPBVparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,59448.3%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · EDGAR RAMON LARRAMENDIA VERAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,53646.5%4Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151725.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.3%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO36.1%
  • FRENTE GUASU13.0%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.5%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL0.2%
Results for event-f2b542f30ea17d36d9990c9d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GREGORIO SILVEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,42248.3%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · EXPEDITO BLAS DELGADO BRITOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,06336.1%3Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · MARINO AGUINAGALDE REYESFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201038213%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · PEDRO REYES BARRETOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010742.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/201050.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

38.820–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.483085250338295, oldest_gap=12.186014935505767, previous_gap=1.7565112053301064

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[48.93098782138024,31.447902571041947,0,0,0,0,19.621109607577807],[46.51726226529376,0,0,0,5.208964264082375,0,48.273773470623865],[36.082824168363885,48.26883910386965,0.1697216564833673,0,2.5118805159538358,12.96673455532926,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

61.41percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[48.93098782138024,31.447902571041947,0,0,0,0,19.621109607577807],[46.51726226529376,0,0,0,5.208964264082375,0,48.273773470623865],[36.082824168363885,48.26883910386965,0.1697216564833673,0,2.5118805159538358,12.96673455532926,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[48.93098782138024,31.447902571041947,0,0,0,0,19.621109607577807],[46.51726226529376,0,0,0,5.208964264082375,0,48.273773470623865],[36.082824168363885,48.26883910386965,0.1697216564833673,0,2.5118805159538358,12.96673455532926,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “BUENA VISTA / CAAZAPA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-003-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.