Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

3 DE MAYO / CAAZAPA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · 3 DE MAYO / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · MayorPY-06-002-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
3 DE MAYO / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-ab62ef1264ef13cbebfa20f6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.0%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS42.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU7.7%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO1.6%
Results for event-efa2767b8496b2661fed94b0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · HUMBERTO ALCIDES MAIDANA GONZALEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,74948%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS · PRICILIANO ZARATE VERAAJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,44742.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · MIGUEL ANTONIO TORRES CAIRECNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214387.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO · AQUILES RUBEN DIAZ ACAPFAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021891.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA 3 DE MAYO DIFERENTE48.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO41.2%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU7.6%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.9%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS0.5%
Results for event-0d12b22acf9e7f116d380fe2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 3 DE MAYO DIFERENTE · ARNALDO ANDRES AQUINO SERVIANA3MDparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,14348.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · HUMBERTO ALCIDES MAIDANA GONZALEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,81041.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · GUSTAVO RAMON TORRES GONZALEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153337.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · CARMELO BAEZ CARDOZOPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015821.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · GUSTAVO SOLANO FERNANDEZ GARCETECJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015210.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2012-10-21

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Coloradounknown
Results for event-442a3334aa1bcb5caf1d000c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido Colorado · HUMBERTO ALCIDES MAIDANA GONZALEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2012UnknownUnknown1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.276952647213001, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=7.587149692412851

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[48.034247772147474,0,0,0,0,7.653328673772497,44.31242355408003],[41.23946229209387,0,1.8683071314650261,0,0,7.58714969241285,49.30508088402825],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[48.034247772147474,0,0,0,0,7.653328673772497,44.31242355408003],[41.23946229209387,0,1.8683071314650261,0,0,7.58714969241285,49.30508088402825],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[48.034247772147474,0,0,0,0,7.653328673772497,44.31242355408003],[41.23946229209387,0,1.8683071314650261,0,0,7.58714969241285,49.30508088402825],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “3 DE MAYO / CAAZAPA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-002-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.