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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ABAI / CAAZAPA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · ABAI / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-06-001-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ABAI / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-e371ef96b15269244bef0729
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO61.3%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA12.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO9.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU8.3%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR3.3%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS2.6%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.2%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL0.7%
Results for event-37c35b3a7613ed2a3130b219
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CHRISTIAN ANDRES ACOSTAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,97261.3%9Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,22012.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · OVIDIO JAVIER BRIZUELA DUARTEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20218859.1%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20218138.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULARPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213193.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · CIPRIANO HERMOSILLA ESTIGARRIBIAPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212502.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · DARIO ARNALDO AMADIT RODRIGUEZPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212172.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021660.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO49.4%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU29.5%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS7.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO6.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL6.3%
  • PARTIDO UNACE1.4%
Results for event-bda81954dce8eb3fceed5040
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CHRISTIAN ANDRES ACOSTAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,33949.4%7Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · ANTOLIANO RIVEROS CAMACHOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,99729.5%4Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154707%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NELSON JAVIER DUARTE PERALTAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154366.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154256.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015931.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL36.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO30.6%
  • FRENTE GUASU15.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO14.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.4%
Results for event-26826656665cbad984f8b4e0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · ALIPIO ACOSTA LEIVAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,63136.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · MIRIAN MARGARITA LOPEZ DE PAREDESANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,19530.6%4Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · CARLOS EVER DUARTE ENCISOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,09915.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALDO ISMAEL MELGAREJO MARTINEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,01414.1%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102453.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=48.77848491069595, oldest_gap=6.069042316258351, previous_gap=19.85207100591716

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.18percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[61.30158078423322,9.084376924656128,0.6774789570929994,2.227468692260316,0,8.345308971463766,18.363785670293574],[49.39349112426036,6.449704142011834,6.28698224852071,0,1.3757396449704142,29.541420118343197,6.952662721893491],[30.55400890868597,14.114699331848552,0,0,3.4103563474387526,15.297884187082404,36.62305122494432]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[61.30158078423322,9.084376924656128,0.6774789570929994,2.227468692260316,0,8.345308971463766,18.363785670293574],[49.39349112426036,6.449704142011834,6.28698224852071,0,1.3757396449704142,29.541420118343197,6.952662721893491],[30.55400890868597,14.114699331848552,0,0,3.4103563474387526,15.297884187082404,36.62305122494432]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[61.30158078423322,9.084376924656128,0.6774789570929994,2.227468692260316,0,8.345308971463766,18.363785670293574],[49.39349112426036,6.449704142011834,6.28698224852071,0,1.3757396449704142,29.541420118343197,6.952662721893491],[30.55400890868597,14.114699331848552,0,0,3.4103563474387526,15.297884187082404,36.62305122494432]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ABAI / CAAZAPA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-001-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.