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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA · municipal · MayorPY-06-000-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-918ed41f71e420e9d9edb90e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO80.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR CAAZAPA19.7%
Results for event-ae5a9c50a695bd0b6454a8bb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · AMADO BALDOMERO DIAZ VERONANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20218,25980.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR CAAZAPA · OSCAR IGNACIO VIVEROS ROAAUPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,02519.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2018-02-18

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Coloradounknown
Results for event-2497db0ccf076255e24714f7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido Colorado · VICTORIANO MANUEL LOPEZ ESPINOLAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2018UnknownUnknown1Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO71.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU27.1%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS1.3%
Results for event-5514c244a5051d81bb006e61
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · PEDRO ALEJANDRO DIAZ VERONANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155,95271.7%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · RODNEY ABEL MERELES GIMENEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,24727.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · ALBERTO SILVA CABALLEROCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151061.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2010-11-07 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=60.61843640606767, oldest_gap=44.61167971101745, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[80.30921820303384,0,0,0,0,0,19.69078179696616],null,[71.6676700782661,0,0,0,0,27.055990367248647,1.2763395544852498]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[80.30921820303384,0,0,0,0,0,19.69078179696616],null,[71.6676700782661,0,0,0,0,27.055990367248647,1.2763395544852498]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[80.30921820303384,0,0,0,0,0,19.69078179696616],null,[71.6676700782661,0,0,0,0,27.055990367248647,1.2763395544852498]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAAZAPA / CAAZAPA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-06-000-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.