Office briefing
SAN JOSE DE LOS ARROYOS / CAAGUAZU — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · SAN JOSE DE LOS ARROYOS / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · MayorPY-05-029-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SAN JOSE DE LOS ARROYOS / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-f350badd3a89d603c7e5ee4e
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO83.5%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO10.5%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA6.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · HAMY HERIBERTO CHAVEZ DOMINGUEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 6,554 | 83.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · PEDRO DAVID MONTANIA SANTACRUZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 827 | 10.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · DARIO EUSEBIO ARGUELLO GONZALEZ | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 470 | 6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO76.1%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU19.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO4.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · HAMY HERIBERTO CHAVEZ DOMINGUEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 4,097 | 76.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · DARIO EUSEBIO ARGUELLO GONZALEZ | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,072 | 19.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN PELAYO FLORENTIN CAMPOS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 217 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO53.0%
- UNIDAD SANJOSIANA47.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · JUAN UMBERTO NUÑEZ AGUERO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 3,044 | 53% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNIDAD SANJOSIANA · DOMINGO ANTONIO FLEITAS | USparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,695 | 47% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=72.94612151318303, oldest_gap=6.08119881512458, previous_gap=56.16412922391386
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility19.9percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[83.47981148898229,10.53368997579926,0,0,0,0,5.986498535218444],[76.06758262161159,4.02896398069068,0,0,0,19.903453397697735,0],[53.04059940756229,0,0,0,0,0,46.95940059243771]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility46.96percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[83.47981148898229,10.53368997579926,0,0,0,0,5.986498535218444],[76.06758262161159,4.02896398069068,0,0,0,19.903453397697735,0],[53.04059940756229,0,0,0,0,0,46.95940059243771]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility33.43percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[83.47981148898229,10.53368997579926,0,0,0,0,5.986498535218444],[76.06758262161159,4.02896398069068,0,0,0,19.903453397697735,0],[53.04059940756229,0,0,0,0,0,46.95940059243771]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN JOSE DE LOS ARROYOS / CAAGUAZU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-029-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.