Office briefing
SAN JOAQUIN / CAAGUAZU — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · SAN JOAQUIN / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · MayorPY-05-027-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SAN JOAQUIN / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-cc6525aba79f92355276ec8d
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO50.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO45.3%
- PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS2.1%
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS JAVIER PALACIOS BARRIOS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,152 | 50.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · HEXTOR DANIEL LOPEZ BARRIENTOS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,819 | 45.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · CRISTIAN ALFREDO MOLINAS | PNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 133 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · CRISTI LEONARDO ZORRILLA LEGUIZAMON | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 118 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO54.4%
- PARTIDO COLORADO45.1%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NELSON FERNANDO GONZALEZ BENITEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,936 | 54.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS JAVIER PALACIOS BARRIOS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,432 | 45.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · AQUILINO ORTIZ | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 30 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.4%
- PARTIDO COLORADO34.9%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA6.2%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS6.0%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL5.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALSIDES FLORES OLAZAR | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,925 | 47.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · FELIX HERNAN HELMAN ARAUJO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,417 | 34.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · CATALINO GARCIA VALDEZ | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 251 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ELVIO FRANCO ACOSTA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 243 | 6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · JORGE WILDO SEGOVIA AGUIRRE | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 228 | 5.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI63.690–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.351976856316291, oldest_gap=12.5, previous_gap=9.336791404223789
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility9.64percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[50.658952105432334,45.30697524911604,0,1.8964963034394084,0,0,2.1375763420122147],[45.05372360133383,54.39051500555762,0,0,0,0.5557613931085588,0],[34.86712598425197,47.36712598425197,0,0,5.979330708661418,0,11.786417322834644]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility17.77percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[50.658952105432334,45.30697524911604,0,1.8964963034394084,0,0,2.1375763420122147],[45.05372360133383,54.39051500555762,0,0,0,0.5557613931085588,0],[34.86712598425197,47.36712598425197,0,0,5.979330708661418,0,11.786417322834644]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility13.7percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[50.658952105432334,45.30697524911604,0,1.8964963034394084,0,0,2.1375763420122147],[45.05372360133383,54.39051500555762,0,0,0,0.5557613931085588,0],[34.86712598425197,47.36712598425197,0,0,5.979330708661418,0,11.786417322834644]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN JOAQUIN / CAAGUAZU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-027-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.