Office briefing
SAN JOAQUIN / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · SAN JOAQUIN / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-05-027-C
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SAN JOAQUIN / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-ea235acb209fbe1584f3b595
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO49.6%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO42.1%
- PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS4.5%
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.7%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS JAVIER PALACIOS BARRIOS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,093 | 49.6% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · HEXTOR DANIEL LOPEZ BARRIENTOS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,625 | 42.1% | 4 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · CRISTIAN ALFREDO MOLINAS | PNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 281 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · CRISTI LEONARDO ZORRILLA LEGUIZAMON | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 171 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 61 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO53.8%
- PARTIDO COLORADO44.1%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NELSON FERNANDO GONZALEZ BENITEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,888 | 53.8% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS JAVIER PALACIOS BARRIOS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,366 | 44.1% | 4 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · AQUILINO ORTIZ | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 112 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO43.1%
- PARTIDO COLORADO34.7%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS8.2%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL7.6%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA6.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALSIDES FLORES OLAZAR | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,722 | 43.1% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · FELIX HERNAN HELMAN ARAUJO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,386 | 34.7% | 4 | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ELVIO FRANCO ACOSTA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 327 | 8.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · JORGE WILDO SEGOVIA AGUIRRE | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 302 | 7.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · CATALINO GARCIA VALDEZ | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 262 | 6.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI58.670–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.5108329321136225, oldest_gap=8.402100525131281, previous_gap=9.727916511367866
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility13.78percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[49.63890226287915,42.12806933076553,0,2.74434280211844,0,0,5.48868560423688],[44.09243384271338,53.82035035408125,0,0,0,2.087215803205367,0],[34.658664666166544,43.060765191297826,0,0,8.177044261065266,0,14.103525881470368]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility22.28percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[49.63890226287915,42.12806933076553,0,2.74434280211844,0,0,5.48868560423688],[44.09243384271338,53.82035035408125,0,0,0,2.087215803205367,0],[34.658664666166544,43.060765191297826,0,0,8.177044261065266,0,14.103525881470368]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility18.03percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[49.63890226287915,42.12806933076553,0,2.74434280211844,0,0,5.48868560423688],[44.09243384271338,53.82035035408125,0,0,0,2.087215803205367,0],[34.658664666166544,43.060765191297826,0,0,8.177044261065266,0,14.103525881470368]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN JOAQUIN / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-027-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.