Office briefing
RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO / CAAGUAZU — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · MayorPY-05-023-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-eab7cf9125ed022dc75eb3d2
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO54.1%
- ALIANZA TODOS UNIDOS POR RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO45.3%
- PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · JORGE ANTONIO SOLIS GODOY | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,833 | 54.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA TODOS UNIDOS POR RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO · NERY RAMON GODOY JARA | TUPRAOparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,211 | 45.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · JUAN MARMOLEJO ARAUJO | PCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 39 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO52.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO43.2%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · EDDY NEUFELD HILDEBRAND | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 3,194 | 52.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DIOSNEL CARDOZO ENCINA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,617 | 43.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · FELIX LOPEZ FERNANDEZ | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 252 | 4.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA54.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO24.7%
- PARTIDO COLORADO17.8%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.8%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · EDDY NEUFELD HILDEBRAND | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 3,158 | 54.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · AMALIO BRITOS MARTINEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,440 | 24.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · ANTONIO RUIZ OTAZU | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,041 | 17.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · ANDREA NOCEDA FIGUEREDO | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 106 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · DARIO GENEZ VIVEROS | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 93 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 1996-12-15 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI44.670–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.781589721869267, oldest_gap=29.427886262418635, previous_gap=9.5167408873495
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility47.32percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.1154877876606,0,0,0,0,0,45.8845122123394],[52.68019132442685,43.16345043707735,0,0,0,4.156358238495794,0],[17.831449126413155,24.665981500513876,0,54.09386776293251,1.5930113052415211,0,1.815690304898938]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility57.5percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.1154877876606,0,0,0,0,0,45.8845122123394],[52.68019132442685,43.16345043707735,0,0,0,4.156358238495794,0],[17.831449126413155,24.665981500513876,0,54.09386776293251,1.5930113052415211,0,1.815690304898938]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.41percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.1154877876606,0,0,0,0,0,45.8845122123394],[52.68019132442685,43.16345043707735,0,0,0,4.156358238495794,0],[17.831449126413155,24.665981500513876,0,54.09386776293251,1.5930113052415211,0,1.815690304898938]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO / CAAGUAZU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-023-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.