Office briefing
RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-05-023-C
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-dc6b47e26c4fec3c15ec1f13
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO59.3%
- ALIANZA TODOS UNIDOS POR RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO31.3%
- PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL9.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · JORGE ANTONIO SOLIS GODOY | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 4,191 | 59.3% | 6 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA TODOS UNIDOS POR RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO · NERY RAMON GODOY JARA | TUPRAOparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,213 | 31.3% | 3 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · JUAN MARMOLEJO ARAUJO | PCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 658 | 9.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO51.8%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO38.9%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU7.0%
- PARTIDO UNACE2.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · EDDY NEUFELD HILDEBRAND | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 3,087 | 51.8% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DIOSNEL CARDOZO ENCINA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,318 | 38.9% | 4 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · FELIX LOPEZ FERNANDEZ | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 415 | 7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 144 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA46.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO24.6%
- PARTIDO COLORADO16.8%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.3%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA3.6%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL1.9%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · EDDY NEUFELD HILDEBRAND | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,682 | 46.7% | 7 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · AMALIO BRITOS MARTINEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,410 | 24.6% | 3 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · ANTONIO RUIZ OTAZU | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 964 | 16.8% | 2 | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · DARIO GENEZ VIVEROS | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 303 | 5.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · ANDREA NOCEDA FIGUEREDO | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 208 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 109 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA | PDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 67 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 1996-12-15 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=28.00906258850184, oldest_gap=22.14870276858785, previous_gap=12.89403085177733
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility48.24percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[59.345794392523366,0,0,0,0,0,40.65420560747664],[51.76056338028169,38.86653252850436,0,0,2.414486921529175,6.958417169684775,0],[16.785652098206512,24.55162806895351,0,46.70033083754136,5.27598815949852,0,6.686400835800105]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility56.25percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[59.345794392523366,0,0,0,0,0,40.65420560747664],[51.76056338028169,38.86653252850436,0,0,2.414486921529175,6.958417169684775,0],[16.785652098206512,24.55162806895351,0,46.70033083754136,5.27598815949852,0,6.686400835800105]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.24percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[59.345794392523366,0,0,0,0,0,40.65420560747664],[51.76056338028169,38.86653252850436,0,0,2.414486921529175,6.958417169684775,0],[16.785652098206512,24.55162806895351,0,46.70033083754136,5.27598815949852,0,6.686400835800105]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “RAUL ARSENIO OVIEDO / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-023-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.