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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

FRANCISCO SOLANO LOPEZ / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · FRANCISCO SOLANO LOPEZ / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-05-017-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
FRANCISCO SOLANO LOPEZ / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-814cba1fa38e9c5e78008a2b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO78.0%
  • ALIANZA GANAR RENOVADA15.7%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL4.7%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.6%
Results for event-1b8554d09448f5517d869353
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · NESTOR FAVIAN MARTINEZ BERNALANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,14478%8Recorded
ALIANZA GANAR RENOVADA · JUAN MANUEL LOPEZ PERALTAGRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202143115.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211294.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021451.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU26.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO15.3%
Results for event-ca582d85a06243a84558fa7b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · NESTOR FAVIAN MARTINEZ BERNALANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201597058.3%6Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JUAN MANUEL LOPEZ PERALTAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201544126.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DOMINGO SILVA TRINIDADPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201525415.3%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO41.0%
  • CONCERTACION FRENTE GUAZU MCAL. F.S. LOPEZ PORAVE REKAVO27.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO25.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS6.4%
Results for event-7e09cb19d5a6bce311d6f687
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · NESTOR FAVIAN MARTINEZ BERNALANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201069441%4Recorded
CONCERTACION FRENTE GUAZU MCAL. F.S. LOPEZ PORAVE REKAVOCFGMFSLPRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201046127.2%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JOSE MARCELINO GARCETE BOGADOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201042925.3%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MARCIA CHAPARRO FRANCOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101096.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=62.313568570389236, oldest_gap=13.762551683402243, previous_gap=31.77177177177177

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[77.99199708985086,0,4.692615496544198,1.6369588941433248,0,0,15.678428519461622],[58.25825825825826,15.255255255255255,0,0,0,26.486486486486488,0],[40.9923213230951,25.339633786178382,0,0,6.438275251033668,0,27.229769639692854]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[77.99199708985086,0,4.692615496544198,1.6369588941433248,0,0,15.678428519461622],[58.25825825825826,15.255255255255255,0,0,0,26.486486486486488,0],[40.9923213230951,25.339633786178382,0,0,6.438275251033668,0,27.229769639692854]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[77.99199708985086,0,4.692615496544198,1.6369588941433248,0,0,15.678428519461622],[58.25825825825826,15.255255255255255,0,0,0,26.486486486486488,0],[40.9923213230951,25.339633786178382,0,0,6.438275251033668,0,27.229769639692854]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “FRANCISCO SOLANO LOPEZ / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-017-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.