Office briefing
LA PASTORA / CAAGUAZU — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · LA PASTORA / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · MayorPY-05-015-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- LA PASTORA / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-d4312a714bbdd95f1597eabf
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO74.9%
- PARTIDO COLORADO25.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EDUARDO GIMENEZ MILTOS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,783 | 74.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS CESAR CANDIA CUENCA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 596 | 25.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO63.5%
- PARTIDO COLORADO36.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ERASMO ARNILDO MARTINEZ ARIAS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,174 | 63.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · DIGNA AMADA AYALA DE FLORENTIN | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 675 | 36.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO74.9%
- PARTIDO COLORADO23.3%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DENIS ANDRES MARTINEZ ARIAS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,124 | 74.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · PORFIRIA NUÑEZ BOGADO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 349 | 23.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CESAR LEIVA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 28 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=49.894913829340055, oldest_gap=51.632245169886744, previous_gap=26.9875608436993
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility11.45percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[25.05254308532997,74.94745691467003,0,0,0,0,0],[36.50621957815035,63.49378042184965,0,0,0,0,0],[23.251165889407062,74.8834110592938,0,0,1.8654230512991339,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility13.26percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[25.05254308532997,74.94745691467003,0,0,0,0,0],[36.50621957815035,63.49378042184965,0,0,0,0,0],[23.251165889407062,74.8834110592938,0,0,1.8654230512991339,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.35percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[25.05254308532997,74.94745691467003,0,0,0,0,0],[36.50621957815035,63.49378042184965,0,0,0,0,0],[23.251165889407062,74.8834110592938,0,0,1.8654230512991339,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “LA PASTORA / CAAGUAZU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-015-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.