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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

DR. JUAN M. FRUTOS / CAAGUAZU — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · DR. JUAN M. FRUTOS / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · MayorPY-05-011-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
DR. JUAN M. FRUTOS / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-2a6c6219c3eeed0b4c09b322
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO55.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.5%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS9.1%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.3%
Results for event-830e40851a9c38f67fd4386c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS MEDINA DOMINGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,37555.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EULALIO RAMON MOREL SANTACRUZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,36734.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · OSCAR AGUSTIN SERVIN GONZALEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20218939.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · RICARDO MARTINEZ PATKAUPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211281.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.3%
  • ALIANZA POR UN NUEVO PASTOREO48.7%
Results for event-4e7514a3b160d2f5289b226a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS MEDINA DOMINGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,20451.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA POR UN NUEVO PASTOREO · JUAN MARCIAL FLECHA SEITZPUNPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,99448.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO50.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO43.2%
  • FRENTE GUASU3.0%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.4%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL0.6%
Results for event-cf2285f0adc5c6a38d19e8d4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ORLANDO JUAN ANTONIO AQUINO RIVEROSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,21650.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CRISTINO RAMON GAONA ACOSTAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,74243.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · BARCILICIO RUIZ MARTINEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101923%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN FELIX ROMERO LOVERAPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010901.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · HECTOR ARIEL CESPEDES LOMBARDOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010641%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · NELSON RAMON CRISTALDO ACOSTAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010400.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.720–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.56744853016491, oldest_gap=7.471626733921816, previous_gap=2.561600390339109

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[55.0547987298986,34.48735019973369,0,1.311072416265492,9.146778654102222,0,0],[51.280800195169554,0,0,0,0,0,48.719199804830446],[50.693568726355615,43.2219419924338,1.4186633039092056,0,1.008827238335435,3.0264817150063053,0.6305170239596469]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.68percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[55.0547987298986,34.48735019973369,0,1.311072416265492,9.146778654102222,0,0],[51.280800195169554,0,0,0,0,0,48.719199804830446],[50.693568726355615,43.2219419924338,1.4186633039092056,0,1.008827238335435,3.0264817150063053,0.6305170239596469]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.7percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[55.0547987298986,34.48735019973369,0,1.311072416265492,9.146778654102222,0,0],[51.280800195169554,0,0,0,0,0,48.719199804830446],[50.693568726355615,43.2219419924338,1.4186633039092056,0,1.008827238335435,3.0264817150063053,0.6305170239596469]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “DR. JUAN M. FRUTOS / CAAGUAZU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-011-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.