Office briefing
DR.J. E. ESTIGARRIBIA / CAAGUAZU — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · DR.J. E. ESTIGARRIBIA / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · MayorPY-05-009-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- DR.J. E. ESTIGARRIBIA / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-c340471d27bb0f97fd874bdd
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO47.8%
- ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO40.1%
- ALIANZA TRANSFORMEMOS CAMPO 910.5%
- PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1.1%
- PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · DERLIS DARIO ESPINOLA GUERRERO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 7,513 | 47.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · NELSON NAVARRO ALFONSO | AJCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 6,303 | 40.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA TRANSFORMEMOS CAMPO 9 · MARIA CRISTINA ALEGRE DE AGUERO | TC9paraguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,652 | 10.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · GLORIA MABEL GARAY DE MARTINEZ | PNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 179 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · CARMEN NOELIA VILLALBA OZORIO | PCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 62 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO51.2%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO44.7%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.2%
- PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · DERLIS DARIO ESPINOLA GUERRERO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 5,885 | 51.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NELSON NAVARRO ALFONSO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 5,141 | 44.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · EUGENIO RAMIREZ CORONEL | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 365 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU · OSVALDO RAMON BENITEZ FLEITAS | PTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 102 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO49.2%
- PARTIDO COLORADO47.6%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · PEDRO DEL CARMEN PERALTA BOGADO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 3,689 | 49.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · EDGAR ESPINOLA GUERRERO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 3,571 | 47.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MARTA MARCELINA MINCK DE LINDSTRON | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 243 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI66.40–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.702590871474953, oldest_gap=1.572704251632679, previous_gap=6.473505612111715
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility51.29percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[47.82608695652174,0,0,0,0,0,52.17391304347826],[51.20508135386757,44.731575741755854,0,0,0,3.1758461672322285,0.8874967371443487],[47.5942956150873,49.166999866719976,0,0,3.2387045181927228,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility7.67percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[47.82608695652174,0,0,0,0,0,52.17391304347826],[51.20508135386757,44.731575741755854,0,0,0,3.1758461672322285,0.8874967371443487],[47.5942956150873,49.166999866719976,0,0,3.2387045181927228,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility29.48percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[47.82608695652174,0,0,0,0,0,52.17391304347826],[51.20508135386757,44.731575741755854,0,0,0,3.1758461672322285,0.8874967371443487],[47.5942956150873,49.166999866719976,0,0,3.2387045181927228,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “DR.J. E. ESTIGARRIBIA / CAAGUAZU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.