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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

DR. CECILIO BAEZ / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · DR. CECILIO BAEZ / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-05-007-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
DR. CECILIO BAEZ / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-1dccde1d38a7a9074b75c698
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO57.8%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA31.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO10.8%
Results for event-5b79c17c47146459f5abac5e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LEONARDO FAVIO GONZALEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,72557.8%5Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/202194031.5%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EDIL ROBERTI CAÑETE ESPINOLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202132210.8%1Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA48.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO26.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO24.5%
Results for event-943e87194b93ac0f7c3f7751
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,09048.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ANDRES CANO ALMIRONPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201560326.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · SINDULFO ANIBAL PORTILLOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201554924.5%2Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA39.2%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO31.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO18.9%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA6.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.5%
Results for event-428a3ae99306a0f63a0d9605
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201072939.2%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · SINDULFO ANIBAL PORTILLOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201059331.8%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ANDRES AGUEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201035218.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101236.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MIGUEL ANGEL ALMIRON CANOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010653.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.280549045865417, oldest_gap=7.303974221267456, previous_gap=21.721677074041033

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

64.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[57.75025108804821,10.780046869768999,0,31.469702042182792,0,0,0],[24.487065120428188,26.895628902765388,0,0,0,0,48.61730597680642],[31.84747583243824,18.904403866809883,0,39.151450053705695,3.4908700322234156,0,6.6058002148227715]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[57.75025108804821,10.780046869768999,0,31.469702042182792,0,0,0],[24.487065120428188,26.895628902765388,0,0,0,0,48.61730597680642],[31.84747583243824,18.904403866809883,0,39.151450053705695,3.4908700322234156,0,6.6058002148227715]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[57.75025108804821,10.780046869768999,0,31.469702042182792,0,0,0],[24.487065120428188,26.895628902765388,0,0,0,0,48.61730597680642],[31.84747583243824,18.904403866809883,0,39.151450053705695,3.4908700322234156,0,6.6058002148227715]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “DR. CECILIO BAEZ / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-007-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.