Office briefing
CARAYAO / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · CARAYAO / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-05-005-C
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- CARAYAO / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-92274d8c134087b4fbffd965
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO52.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO33.9%
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA7.5%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU6.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ALBERTO GIMENEZ CACERES | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,655 | 52.1% | 6 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,373 | 33.9% | 3 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 524 | 7.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU | CNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 457 | 6.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO47.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO38.5%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU7.2%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA5.4%
- PARTIDO UNACE1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ALBERTO GIMENEZ CACERES | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,586 | 47.7% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ELIODORO GIMENEZ MELGAREJO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,084 | 38.5% | 4 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 389 | 7.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 292 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE · PRIMITIVO OSVALDO AMARILLA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 66 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO42.2%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.1%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA10.6%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.4%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATA PROGRESISTA DEL DISTRITO DE CARAYAO1.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CELSO GUSTAVO VILLAR CACERES | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,053 | 42.2% | 6 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DENIS AMERICO GODOY GIMENEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,000 | 41.1% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · DARIO CORONEL BENITEZ | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 518 | 10.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 214 | 4.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATA PROGRESISTA DEL DISTRITO DE CARAYAO | PDPDDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 85 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI30.680–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.290769011271223, oldest_gap=1.088295687885008, previous_gap=9.267122023260107
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility11.88percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[52.147239263803684,33.85647025253246,0,7.476102154372949,0,6.520188329290912,0],[47.738600701495294,38.47147867823519,0,0,1.2183865608270261,7.181096547904744,5.390437511537751],[42.15605749486653,41.06776180698152,0,0,4.394250513347022,0,12.38193018480493]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.76percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[52.147239263803684,33.85647025253246,0,7.476102154372949,0,6.520188329290912,0],[47.738600701495294,38.47147867823519,0,0,1.2183865608270261,7.181096547904744,5.390437511537751],[42.15605749486653,41.06776180698152,0,0,4.394250513347022,0,12.38193018480493]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.32percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[52.147239263803684,33.85647025253246,0,7.476102154372949,0,6.520188329290912,0],[47.738600701495294,38.47147867823519,0,0,1.2183865608270261,7.181096547904744,5.390437511537751],[42.15605749486653,41.06776180698152,0,0,4.394250513347022,0,12.38193018480493]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “CARAYAO / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-005-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.