Office briefing
TEBICUARY / GUAIRA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · TEBICUARY / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · MayorPY-04-030-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- TEBICUARY / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-97410d59e8b0f946bd92e211
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOV FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEBICUARY49.6%
- PARTIDO COLORADO45.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO5.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOV FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEBICUARY · JUAN PAREDES OCAMPOS | FPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,034 | 49.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · JULIO CESAR GIMENEZ DOMINGUEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 940 | 45.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CLAUDIO VICTORINO FLORENTIN ROJAS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 111 | 5.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOV. POLITICO FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEBICUARY52.7%
- PARTIDO COLORADO46.8%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOV. POLITICO FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEBICUARY · JUAN BOSCH BEYNEN | FPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 760 | 52.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · ARNALDO ANDRES VILLALBA FRUTOS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 676 | 46.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RAUL GONZALEZ AGUIRRE | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 7 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEBICUARY48.0%
- PARTIDO COLORADO30.3%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA10.8%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO9.3%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEBICUARY · SAUL CASIMIRO ORTIZ | FPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 575 | 48% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · WILFRIDO MANUEL RUIZ DIAZ CAMPUZANO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 363 | 30.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · JUAN CARLOS GIMENEZ PAREDES | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 129 | 10.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NESTOR MARCIAL BENITEZ ORTIZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 112 | 9.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · GUILLERMO ALFONSO MERCADO | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 20 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 2009-01-18 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI68.90–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.508393285371703, oldest_gap=17.681401167639702, previous_gap=5.821205821205822
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility4.84percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.08393285371702,5.323741007194244,0,0,0,0,49.592326139088726],[46.846846846846844,0.4851004851004851,0,0,0,0,52.66805266805267],[30.275229357798164,9.341117597998332,0,0,1.6680567139282736,0,58.71559633027523]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility16.57percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.08393285371702,5.323741007194244,0,0,0,0,49.592326139088726],[46.846846846846844,0.4851004851004851,0,0,0,0,52.66805266805267],[30.275229357798164,9.341117597998332,0,0,1.6680567139282736,0,58.71559633027523]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility10.71percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.08393285371702,5.323741007194244,0,0,0,0,49.592326139088726],[46.846846846846844,0.4851004851004851,0,0,0,0,52.66805266805267],[30.275229357798164,9.341117597998332,0,0,1.6680567139282736,0,58.71559633027523]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “TEBICUARY / GUAIRA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-030-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.