Office briefing
PASO YOBAI / GUAIRA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · PASO YOBAI / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · MayorPY-04-027-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- PASO YOBAI / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-47e0e8a36bdfa0d823c5f4ff
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO63.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO35.7%
- PARTIDO DEL FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEETE1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR ARNALDO CHAVEZ RESQUIN | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 6,330 | 63% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALCIDES CABALLERO BENITEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,586 | 35.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEL FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEETE · ORTILIA CONCEPCION DUARTE DE FLEITAS | PFPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 126 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO51.8%
- ALIANZA TODOS POR PASO YOBAI48.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · RONALD EUCLIDES VAZQUEZ DUARTE | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 4,100 | 51.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA TODOS POR PASO YOBAI · INOCENCIO RUIZ DIAZ | ATPPYparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 3,812 | 48.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO42.8%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO32.7%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL21.9%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · EDGAR MILCIADES CHAVEZ BRIZUELA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,419 | 42.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS EDUARDO DURE SAMANIEGO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,846 | 32.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · GERMAN BENITEZ YBARRA | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,238 | 21.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAMON ROJAS CRISTALDO | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 146 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI7.490–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.32523401712806, oldest_gap=10.14338821030271, previous_gap=3.6400404448938275
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility46.93percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[63.03525194184425,35.71001792471619,0,0,0,0,1.254730133439554],[51.820020222446914,0,0,0,0,0,48.179979777553086],[42.82173836077182,32.67835015046911,0,0,2.584528235085856,0,21.915383253673216]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility35.26percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[63.03525194184425,35.71001792471619,0,0,0,0,1.254730133439554],[51.820020222446914,0,0,0,0,0,48.179979777553086],[42.82173836077182,32.67835015046911,0,0,2.584528235085856,0,21.915383253673216]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility41.09percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[63.03525194184425,35.71001792471619,0,0,0,0,1.254730133439554],[51.820020222446914,0,0,0,0,0,48.179979777553086],[42.82173836077182,32.67835015046911,0,0,2.584528235085856,0,21.915383253673216]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “PASO YOBAI / GUAIRA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-027-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.