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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PASO YOBAI / GUAIRA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · PASO YOBAI / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-04-027-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PASO YOBAI / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-1678c01bab34c6149ad02fd6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO62.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO29.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL6.5%
  • PARTIDO DEL FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEETE1.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU0.7%
Results for event-ecb260b243121bec65754eb4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR ARNALDO CHAVEZ RESQUINANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,28662.1%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALCIDES CABALLERO BENITEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,97629.4%3Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216586.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEETE · ORTILIA CONCEPCION DUARTE DE FLEITASPFPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211331.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021740.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO21.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU12.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL8.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO6.5%
  • PARTIDO UNACE4.2%
Results for event-0a8c8fb05627b115451d879c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RONALD EUCLIDES VAZQUEZ DUARTEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,44747.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,51921%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201590012.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156068.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154706.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153034.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO39.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL23.0%
  • ALIANZA EN PASO YOBAI EN DEFENSA DE LA SOBERANIA11.8%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.8%
Results for event-4b78197a0ba04f860c9a442f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · EDGAR MILCIADES CHAVEZ BRIZUELAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,12339.1%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS EDUARDO DURE SAMANIEGOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,26523.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · GERMAN BENITEZ YBARRAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,25123%2Recorded
ALIANZA EN PASO YOBAI EN DEFENSA DE LA SOBERANIAAPYparaguay/S82789e1ede/201063911.8%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAMON ROJAS CRISTALDOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101502.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=32.684901747802904, oldest_gap=15.806927044952097, previous_gap=26.611456176673567

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[62.07168954280636,29.386787795003457,6.497481978868372,0,0,0.7307198578058655,1.3133208255159474],[47.577639751552795,20.966183574879228,8.364389233954451,0,4.182194616977226,12.422360248447205,6.487232574189096],[39.11201179071481,23.305084745762713,0,0,2.763448784082535,0,34.81945467943994]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[62.07168954280636,29.386787795003457,6.497481978868372,0,0,0.7307198578058655,1.3133208255159474],[47.577639751552795,20.966183574879228,8.364389233954451,0,4.182194616977226,12.422360248447205,6.487232574189096],[39.11201179071481,23.305084745762713,0,0,2.763448784082535,0,34.81945467943994]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.79percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[62.07168954280636,29.386787795003457,6.497481978868372,0,0,0.7307198578058655,1.3133208255159474],[47.577639751552795,20.966183574879228,8.364389233954451,0,4.182194616977226,12.422360248447205,6.487232574189096],[39.11201179071481,23.305084745762713,0,0,2.763448784082535,0,34.81945467943994]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PASO YOBAI / GUAIRA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-027-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.