Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Source publication

ÑUMI / GUAIRA — Municipal council

Original research briefing. Source qualifications and evidence gaps are retained; active scripts and styling have been removed for safe display.

Back to structured office record

ÑUMI / GUAIRA — Municipal council
Latin America register

Paraguay · GUAIRA

ÑUMI / GUAIRA — Municipal council

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 61.5/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 17.7 points; earlier interval 4.3 points; two-interval mean 11.0 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICODERLIS RUBEN DUARTE DUARTE1,18143.56%4
PARTIDO COLORADODOMINGO ALEXIS GONZALEZ ORUE1,05038.73%4
MOV INDEPENDIENTE PUEBLO UNIDOAURELIANO DUARTE FARIÑA45716.86%1
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS230.85%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOELVIO CACERES1,21355.92%5
PARTIDO COLORADOISIDRO MORINIGO95644.08%4

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOELVIO CACERES93954.12%5
PARTIDO COLORADORAMON DUARTE72241.61%4
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSWILFRIDO SAMUDIO YBARDELLA744.27%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOCARMEN AURORA MARTINI DE CABRERA79250.00%5
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAOSCAR SILVERO CACERES78049.24%4
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA120.76%0

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOCARMEN AURORA MARTINI DE CABRERA82654.20%5
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAOSCAR SILVERO CACERES69845.80%4

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANA72350.52%5
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO70849.48%4

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-04-025-C.