Office briefing
MBOCAYATY DEL GUAIRA / GUAIRA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · MBOCAYATY DEL GUAIRA / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · MayorPY-04-021-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- MBOCAYATY DEL GUAIRA / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-9955580ef9ecde49a41ae467
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO75.2%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO22.9%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · NORMA ELIZABETH GODOY JORGGE | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,947 | 75.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LISA MARLENE MARTINEZ DE CALCENA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 896 | 22.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · DOMINGO RAMON PORTILLO GASSER | CNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 74 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO77.6%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU14.7%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA6.0%
- PARTIDO UNACE1.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · NORMA ELIZABETH GODOY JORGGE | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,227 | 77.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · CRISTINO RAIMUNDO GUILLEN | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 422 | 14.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · DOMINGO RAMON PORTILLO GASSER | PDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 173 | 6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE · NOLMA SANDOVAL DE MONTIEL | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 47 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO49.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO44.3%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.6%
- PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO1.0%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL0.3%
- ALIANZA MBOCAYATY RAYJHUPAPE0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · NORMA ELIZABETH GODOY JORGGE | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,395 | 49.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ELISEO MARTINEZ SAMUDIO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,244 | 44.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ALFREDO ERNESTO PANIAGUA ROLON | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 130 | 4.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO · ISABELINO AYALA GONZALEZ | PFAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 28 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · JOSE LEON PALMA ALFONZO | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 8 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA MBOCAYATY RAYJHUPAPE · JUVENCIO SANCHEZ DUARTE | AMRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1 | 0% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=52.3615011488384, oldest_gap=5.381325730577338, previous_gap=62.91390728476821
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility22.87percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[75.23615011488384,22.87464896604544,0,0,0,1.8892009190707173,0],[77.62286510979435,0,0,0,1.6382014639247124,14.708957825026141,6.029975601254793],[49.71489665003564,44.3335709194583,0,0,4.632929436920884,0,1.3186029935851746]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility47.33percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[75.23615011488384,22.87464896604544,0,0,0,1.8892009190707173,0],[77.62286510979435,0,0,0,1.6382014639247124,14.708957825026141,6.029975601254793],[49.71489665003564,44.3335709194583,0,0,4.632929436920884,0,1.3186029935851746]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility35.1percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[75.23615011488384,22.87464896604544,0,0,0,1.8892009190707173,0],[77.62286510979435,0,0,0,1.6382014639247124,14.708957825026141,6.029975601254793],[49.71489665003564,44.3335709194583,0,0,4.632929436920884,0,1.3186029935851746]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “MBOCAYATY DEL GUAIRA / GUAIRA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-021-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.