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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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INDEPENDENCIA / GUAIRA — Municipal council

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INDEPENDENCIA / GUAIRA — Municipal council
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Paraguay · GUAIRA

INDEPENDENCIA / GUAIRA — Municipal council

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 0.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 24.1 points; earlier interval 15.7 points; two-interval mean 19.9 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOJOSE ANTONIO RESQUIN ACOSTA6,16264.82%7
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO1,96320.65%2
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUROSA ELENA SANTA CRUZ ADORNO7768.16%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALEVA MAGDALENA CRISTALDO RESQUIN6056.36%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOFRANCISCO ARNALDO CHAVEZ GONZALEZ3,00945.82%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOVICTOR MANUEL FONSECA LEGAL1,46422.29%2
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUMARCOS MIGUEL DOLDAN VAZQUEZ94614.41%1
PARTIDO UNACEROBERTO MANUEL CUBAS CACERES4366.64%0
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO2864.36%0
PARTIDO BLANCO2183.32%0
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA ARUBEN BARRETO GONZALEZ1261.92%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL821.25%0

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOJOSE ELIGIO CHAVEZ SILVERO3,04746.80%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOARIEL PERFECTO FONSECA LEGAL1,90029.19%4
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSERWIN VOGEL TILLMANN75211.55%1
ALIANZA INDENDENCIA RAYHUPAPE4717.24%1
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILNIMIA BEATRIZ GONZALEZ DE OVIEDO3405.22%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAJOSE ELIGIO CHAVEZ SILVERO3,49656.76%7
ALIANZA PEN-UNACEWILFRIDO METZINGER SCHEBELLA1,97532.07%4
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICONANCY MERELES COLMAN5609.09%1
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1282.08%0

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALNICOLAS ORTIGOZA BRITEZ2,53347.65%5
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAERI RAMON PERALTA CRISTALDO2,20241.42%4
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOEUGENIO RUBEN AREVALO MIRANDA4839.09%0
MOV.FUERZA DEMOC.INDEPENDIENTEJUAN CARLOS OVIEDO BOGADO981.84%0

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANA3,09955.53%5
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO1,79932.23%3
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL68312.24%1

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-04-013-C.