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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

FELIX PEREZ CARDOZO / GUAIRA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · FELIX PEREZ CARDOZO / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · MayorPY-04-009-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
FELIX PEREZ CARDOZO / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-42af186c9091947dce397328
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO67.6%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE CIUDADANOS UNIDOS32.4%
Results for event-4a750afdc2c74c925eca2859
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ADOLFO ROMAN FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,37367.6%1Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE CIUDADANOS UNIDOS · LUIS ALBERTO NUÑEZ MARMORIMICUSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,13532.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO81.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO18.2%
Results for event-4fbc77af4b4d4d687e85d618
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ADOLFO ROMAN FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,06981.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CANDIDO ESPINOLA CRISTALDOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201546018.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL27.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO14.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS11.8%
Results for event-11a62099a94a56eeaf2658f5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CIRILO ANTONIO CASTILLO GAMARRAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,05346.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · OSCAR RAMON GOMEZ FARIÑAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/201061927.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN DAMIAN CAÑETE GODOYPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201032514.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · BLAS ANTONIO GODOY GONZALEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201026811.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=35.29076396807298, oldest_gap=19.161147902869757, previous_gap=63.62198497429814

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[67.64538198403649,0,0,0,0,0,32.35461801596351],[81.81099248714906,18.189007512850928,0,0,0,0,0],[46.49006622516556,14.34878587196468,0,0,11.832229580573951,0,27.328918322295806]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[67.64538198403649,0,0,0,0,0,32.35461801596351],[81.81099248714906,18.189007512850928,0,0,0,0,0],[46.49006622516556,14.34878587196468,0,0,11.832229580573951,0,27.328918322295806]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[67.64538198403649,0,0,0,0,0,32.35461801596351],[81.81099248714906,18.189007512850928,0,0,0,0,0],[46.49006622516556,14.34878587196468,0,0,11.832229580573951,0,27.328918322295806]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “FELIX PEREZ CARDOZO / GUAIRA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.