Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

FELIX PEREZ CARDOZO / GUAIRA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · FELIX PEREZ CARDOZO / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-04-009-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
FELIX PEREZ CARDOZO / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-c1fb20b47c93bdb2bd1b5f5c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO74.1%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE CIUDADANOS UNIDOS19.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO6.2%
Results for event-faffa2117807e1cb84e245c4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ADOLFO ROMAN FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,59874.1%7Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE CIUDADANOS UNIDOS · LUIS ALBERTO NUÑEZ MARMORIMICUSparaguay/S82789e1ede/202168819.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212196.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO78.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO21.2%
Results for event-863a8d5a483eeb01b867b50a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ADOLFO ROMAN FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,00278.8%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CANDIDO ESPINOLA CRISTALDOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201553821.2%2Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL25.2%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS16.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO11.6%
Results for event-eee0d2ba33a7944227bb45ec
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CIRILO ANTONIO CASTILLO GAMARRAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,03646.2%5Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · OSCAR RAMON GOMEZ FARIÑAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/201056525.2%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · BLAS ANTONIO GODOY GONZALEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201037916.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN DAMIAN CAÑETE GODOYPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201026111.6%1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=54.49358059914408, oldest_gap=21.017402945113787, previous_gap=57.63779527559055

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[74.12268188302426,6.248216833095578,0,0,0,0,19.62910128388017],[78.81889763779527,21.181102362204726,0,0,0,0,0],[46.22936189201249,11.646586345381525,0,0,16.912092815707272,0,25.211958946898704]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.12percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[74.12268188302426,6.248216833095578,0,0,0,0,19.62910128388017],[78.81889763779527,21.181102362204726,0,0,0,0,0],[46.22936189201249,11.646586345381525,0,0,16.912092815707272,0,25.211958946898704]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[74.12268188302426,6.248216833095578,0,0,0,0,19.62910128388017],[78.81889763779527,21.181102362204726,0,0,0,0,0],[46.22936189201249,11.646586345381525,0,0,16.912092815707272,0,25.211958946898704]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “FELIX PEREZ CARDOZO / GUAIRA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-009-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.