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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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DR. BOTRELL / GUAIRA — Mayor

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DR. BOTRELL / GUAIRA — Mayor
Latin America register

Paraguay · GUAIRA

DR. BOTRELL / GUAIRA — Mayor

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 45.7/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 20.0 points; earlier interval 55.8 points; two-interval mean 37.9 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30AMARTIN ABEL CRISTALDO BAEZ54753.89%1
PARTIDO COLORADOMARCIANO MARTINEZ FIGUEREDO46846.11%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOPEDRO TOMAS BOGADO38744.23%1
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOMARTIN ABEL CRISTALDO BAEZ31335.77%0
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUNANCY LILIANA SANABRIA BAEZ17520.00%0

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOMARCIANO MARTINEZ FIGUEREDO44163.00%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICODIOSNEL SANABRIA COLMAN18526.43%0
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSELIAS PEREZ CANTERO7410.57%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAPEDRO TOMAS BOGADO45183.21%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOANDRES PEREZ BARRIOS9116.79%0

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAPEDRO TOMAS BOGADO41580.12%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOEUGENIO BOGADO BOBADILLA10319.88%0

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANAANTONIO ERNESTO BOGADO33461.28%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO21138.72%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-04-007-M.