Office briefing
DR. BOTRELL / GUAIRA — Municipal council
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · DR. BOTRELL / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-04-007-C
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- DR. BOTRELL / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-d67181c224e04a28aa0414d5
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO52.4%
- PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A27.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO19.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · MARCIANO MARTINEZ FIGUEREDO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 531 | 52.4% | 5 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · MARTIN ABEL CRISTALDO BAEZ | PNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 283 | 27.9% | 2 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 200 | 19.7% | 2 | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO43.2%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU17.3%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO14.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO13.6%
- PARTIDO UNACE6.7%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA5.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · PEDRO TOMAS BOGADO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 368 | 43.2% | 5 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · NANCY LILIANA SANABRIA BAEZ | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 147 | 17.3% | 2 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · MARTIN ABEL CRISTALDO BAEZ | PDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 120 | 14.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 116 | 13.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 57 | 6.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA | PDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 43 | 5.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO40.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO20.3%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS17.3%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL15.0%
- DR. BOTRELL ES NUESTRA7.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · MARCIANO MARTINEZ FIGUEREDO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 264 | 40% | 4 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DIOSNEL SANABRIA COLMAN | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 134 | 20.3% | 2 | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ELIAS PEREZ CANTERO | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 114 | 17.3% | 2 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 99 | 15% | 1 | Recorded |
| DR. BOTRELL ES NUESTRA | DBENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 49 | 7.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=24.45759368836292, oldest_gap=19.696969696969695, previous_gap=25.96944770857814
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility23.97percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[52.366863905325445,19.723865877712033,0,0,0,0,27.909270216962526],[43.24324324324324,13.6310223266745,0,0,6.698002350176263,17.2737955346651,19.153936545240892],[40,20.303030303030305,0,0,17.272727272727273,0,22.424242424242422]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility20.52percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[52.366863905325445,19.723865877712033,0,0,0,0,27.909270216962526],[43.24324324324324,13.6310223266745,0,0,6.698002350176263,17.2737955346651,19.153936545240892],[40,20.303030303030305,0,0,17.272727272727273,0,22.424242424242422]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility22.24percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[52.366863905325445,19.723865877712033,0,0,0,0,27.909270216962526],[43.24324324324324,13.6310223266745,0,0,6.698002350176263,17.2737955346651,19.153936545240892],[40,20.303030303030305,0,0,17.272727272727273,0,22.424242424242422]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “DR. BOTRELL / GUAIRA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-007-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.