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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CORONEL MARTINEZ / GUAIRA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CORONEL MARTINEZ / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-04-005-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CORONEL MARTINEZ / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-0501d4caab572b36c12b8df3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO64.0%
  • MOV UNIDAD POPULAR RENOVADORA28.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO5.9%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1.4%
Results for event-18d7688df6a5a8e3dbd2da39
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARICIO ROMANANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,28364%6Recorded
MOV UNIDAD POPULAR RENOVADORA · CARLOS MIGUEL FERREIRA BOGADOUPRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,02428.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · BIANCA ESTHER MARTINEZ DUARTEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212105.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOSPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021511.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO33.9%
  • MOV.POLIT.UNIDAD POPULAR RENOVADORA-CNEL.MARTINEZ26.8%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.8%
Results for event-d8706ae629216e5eeb0d1634
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARICIO ROMANANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,04238.5%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DARIO RUBEN MARTINEZ PRIETOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201591633.9%3Recorded
MOV.POLIT.UNIDAD POPULAR RENOVADORA-CNEL.MARTINEZ · CARLOS MIGUEL FERREIRA BOGADOMPIUPRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201572526.8%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · HERNAN SILVIO BENITEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015230.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO42.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.2%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA2.5%
Results for event-700e8c589baadf901871dd6d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · YEAN SINMON LICHI BOGGINOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,04751.2%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DARIO RUBEN MARTINEZ PRIETOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201086142.1%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CARLOS ALBERTO BAEZ CRISTALDOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010864.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · JUAN NUÑEZ AQUINOPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010512.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=35.28587443946188, oldest_gap=9.095354523227378, previous_gap=4.656319290465632

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[63.98542600896861,5.885650224215246,0,0,0,0,30.128923766816143],[38.5070214338507,33.85070214338507,0,0,0.8499630450849963,0,26.792313377679232],[51.19804400977995,42.10268948655257,0,0,4.205378973105135,0,2.4938875305623474]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[63.98542600896861,5.885650224215246,0,0,0,0,30.128923766816143],[38.5070214338507,33.85070214338507,0,0,0.8499630450849963,0,26.792313377679232],[51.19804400977995,42.10268948655257,0,0,4.205378973105135,0,2.4938875305623474]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[63.98542600896861,5.885650224215246,0,0,0,0,30.128923766816143],[38.5070214338507,33.85070214338507,0,0,0.8499630450849963,0,26.792313377679232],[51.19804400977995,42.10268948655257,0,0,4.205378973105135,0,2.4938875305623474]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CORONEL MARTINEZ / GUAIRA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-005-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.