Office briefing
CAP. MAURICIO JOSE TROCHE / GUAIRA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · CAP. MAURICIO JOSE TROCHE / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · MayorPY-04-003-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- CAP. MAURICIO JOSE TROCHE / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5d4f62ebff7a31bb49e8ebd7
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO51.5%
- PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A42.5%
- PARTIDO HAGAMOS5.4%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · OSMAR ANIBAL BRITEZ JARA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,938 | 51.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · SERGIO ESCOBAR AMARILLA | PNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,425 | 42.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO HAGAMOS · JORGE GUSTAVO GONZALEZ LEIVA | PPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 308 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · DIOSNEL SACHELARIDI ALVAREZ | CNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 32 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA JUNTOS PARA LA VICTORIA TROCHE48.9%
- PARTIDO COLORADO45.8%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU5.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA JUNTOS PARA LA VICTORIA TROCHE · ANDRESA BENITEZ DE MENDEZ | AJPVTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,122 | 48.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CRISTIAN FRANCISCO BOBADILLA FARIÑA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,987 | 45.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HUGO AMANCIO BENITEZ VERA | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 227 | 5.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA JUNTOS PARA LA VICTORIA44.0%
- PARTIDO COLORADO43.0%
- ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU DIGNIDAD Y PROGRESO9.6%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA JUNTOS PARA LA VICTORIA · ANDRESA BENITEZ DE MENDEZ | AJPVparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,526 | 44% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · JORGE NATIVIDAD AQUINO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,491 | 43% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU DIGNIDAD Y PROGRESO · YSAEL PAVON PERALTA | AFGDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 332 | 9.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · NELLY LUJAN GONZALEZ DE SACHELARIDIS | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 116 | 3.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI67.840–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.995265649658073, oldest_gap=1.0101010101010104, previous_gap=3.113468634686349
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility5.69percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[51.5167455725057,0,0,0,0,0.5611081886726285,47.922146238821675],[45.82564575645756,0,0,0,0,5.235239852398524,48.93911439114391],[43.03030303030303,0,0,0,3.347763347763348,0,53.62193362193362]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility8.03percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[51.5167455725057,0,0,0,0,0.5611081886726285,47.922146238821675],[45.82564575645756,0,0,0,0,5.235239852398524,48.93911439114391],[43.03030303030303,0,0,0,3.347763347763348,0,53.62193362193362]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility6.86percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[51.5167455725057,0,0,0,0,0.5611081886726285,47.922146238821675],[45.82564575645756,0,0,0,0,5.235239852398524,48.93911439114391],[43.03030303030303,0,0,0,3.347763347763348,0,53.62193362193362]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “CAP. MAURICIO JOSE TROCHE / GUAIRA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-003-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.