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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAP. MAURICIO JOSE TROCHE / GUAIRA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CAP. MAURICIO JOSE TROCHE / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-04-003-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAP. MAURICIO JOSE TROCHE / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-b64541ffa3f1e89f233549b1
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO55.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO16.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU8.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO7.0%
  • PARTIDO HAGAMOS5.6%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL5.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.5%
Results for event-d33db8559e6ae54f4fab6ff3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSMAR ANIBAL BRITEZ JARAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,18455.9%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202192916.3%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · DIOSNEL SACHELARIDI ALVAREZCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214828.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213987%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO HAGAMOS · JORGE GUSTAVO GONZALEZ LEIVAPPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213185.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212975.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021831.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO40.6%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS PARA LA VICTORIA TROCHE19.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO17.3%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL9.6%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU8.9%
  • PARTIDO UNACE4.2%
Results for event-6ec19638e557fd9dc05749c4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CRISTIAN FRANCISCO BOBADILLA FARIÑAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,67340.6%4Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS PARA LA VICTORIA TROCHE · ANDRESA BENITEZ DE MENDEZAJPVTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201579819.4%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201571117.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153959.6%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HUGO AMANCIO BENITEZ VERAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153668.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151754.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.1%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS PARA LA VICTORIA32.0%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU DIGNIDAD Y PROGRESO16.8%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.1%
Results for event-c13c8fca812b4e8b253f52ed
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JORGE NATIVIDAD AQUINOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,57246.1%5Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS PARA LA VICTORIA · ANDRESA BENITEZ DE MENDEZAJPVparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,09332%3Recorded
ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU DIGNIDAD Y PROGRESO · YSAEL PAVON PERALTAAFGDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/201057316.8%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · NELLY LUJAN GONZALEZ DE SACHELARIDISUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101755.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=39.62396766824811, oldest_gap=14.034573688836801, previous_gap=21.248178727537642

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[55.94798805130908,16.324020383060972,5.218766473379019,1.45844315586013,0,8.469513266561236,12.581268669829555],[40.62651772705197,17.2656629431763,9.592034968431276,0,4.249635745507528,8.8878096163186,19.378338999514327],[46.05918546733079,0,0,0,5.127453852915324,0,48.813360679753885]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[55.94798805130908,16.324020383060972,5.218766473379019,1.45844315586013,0,8.469513266561236,12.581268669829555],[40.62651772705197,17.2656629431763,9.592034968431276,0,4.249635745507528,8.8878096163186,19.378338999514327],[46.05918546733079,0,0,0,5.127453852915324,0,48.813360679753885]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[55.94798805130908,16.324020383060972,5.218766473379019,1.45844315586013,0,8.469513266561236,12.581268669829555],[40.62651772705197,17.2656629431763,9.592034968431276,0,4.249635745507528,8.8878096163186,19.378338999514327],[46.05918546733079,0,0,0,5.127453852915324,0,48.813360679753885]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAP. MAURICIO JOSE TROCHE / GUAIRA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-003-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.