Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VALENZUELA / CORDILLERA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · VALENZUELA / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-03-037-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VALENZUELA / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-edc5b44a745aa6abe705a679
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO50.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.6%
Results for event-b250c694d0c8210c836c3fce
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS PABLO CANTERO VAZQUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,27750.4%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIRTHA ELIZABETH FERNANDEZ YEGROSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,16848%4Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021711.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.3%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO39.4%
  • PARTIDO UNACE10.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU8.5%
Results for event-953e58a6bdeddf208e6b745b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIRTHA ELIZABETH FERNANDEZ YEGROSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,38941.3%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · CAYETANO AVALOS ZAYASANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,32339.4%4Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201536110.7%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152878.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS6.0%
Results for event-d3920b5dd6c6c5e0ae2e4d9e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIRTHA ELIZABETH FERNANDEZ YEGROSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,35947.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELADIO GALEANO LUGOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,32046.3%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAFAEL GONZALEZ FLECHAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101716%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

89.130–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.4136403897254226, oldest_gap=1.3684210526315752, previous_gap=1.9642857142857153

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[50.4207263064659,48.00708591674048,0,0,0,1.5721877767936228,0],[39.375,41.339285714285715,0,0,10.744047619047619,8.541666666666666,0],[46.31578947368421,47.68421052631579,0,0,6,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[50.4207263064659,48.00708591674048,0,0,0,1.5721877767936228,0],[39.375,41.339285714285715,0,0,10.744047619047619,8.541666666666666,0],[46.31578947368421,47.68421052631579,0,0,6,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.5percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[50.4207263064659,48.00708591674048,0,0,0,1.5721877767936228,0],[39.375,41.339285714285715,0,0,10.744047619047619,8.541666666666666,0],[46.31578947368421,47.68421052631579,0,0,6,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VALENZUELA / CORDILLERA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-03-037-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.