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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN JOSE OBRERO / CORDILLERA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN JOSE OBRERO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA · municipal · MayorPY-03-031-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN JOSE OBRERO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-71009f9d724411bb13411ef2
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO57.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO42.1%
Results for event-644c95c8852c32fea17a5cf8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ADOLFO QUIÑONEZ ZAPATAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,16857.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · FRANCISCO JAVIER ROLONANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202185042.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO52.1%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.4%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA3.5%
Results for event-3284a623b5d92ffba2ec7b8e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ADOLFO QUIÑONEZ ZAPATAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201592952.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · HERMINIA VILLALBA TOLEDOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201579244.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · MARCELINO SANCHEZ CARDENAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015623.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO52.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO32.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS10.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL4.2%
  • CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU0.9%
Results for event-fb27df5c1bbe82a067a9e557
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GUSTAVO RAMON TROCHE CHAPARROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201078052%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · JUAN LIDER YAMBAY VELAZQUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201048732.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAMON ALFREDO GONZALEZ OTAZOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201015710.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · MIGUEL HERMOSILLA FRANCOM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010634.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU · OSVALDO BALBUENA MARTINEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010130.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

31.430–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.758176412289401, oldest_gap=19.53333333333333, previous_gap=7.683679192372409

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[42.1209117938553,57.8790882061447,0,0,0,0,0],[44.419517666853615,52.103196859226024,0,0,0,0,3.477285473920359],[32.46666666666667,52,0,0,10.466666666666667,0.8666666666666667,4.2]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[42.1209117938553,57.8790882061447,0,0,0,0,0],[44.419517666853615,52.103196859226024,0,0,0,0,3.477285473920359],[32.46666666666667,52,0,0,10.466666666666667,0.8666666666666667,4.2]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[42.1209117938553,57.8790882061447,0,0,0,0,0],[44.419517666853615,52.103196859226024,0,0,0,0,3.477285473920359],[32.46666666666667,52,0,0,10.466666666666667,0.8666666666666667,4.2]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN JOSE OBRERO / CORDILLERA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-03-031-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.