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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN BERNARDINO / CORDILLERA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN BERNARDINO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA · municipal · MayorPY-03-029-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN BERNARDINO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-087c1b5bfe2200f90834c5f4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO52.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.5%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA6.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU5.4%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A1.0%
Results for event-fb40b2e55a94efe7bdef41be
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · EMIGDIO FERNANDO RUIZ DIAZ OJEDAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,14452.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS AGUILAR RIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,72034.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · LUIS RAMON AQUINO ESCOBARPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215156.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · DANILO JAVIER FLEITAS SALDIVARCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214265.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · ELIZABETH CAROLINA AVEIRO DE VITPNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021761%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO55.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.3%
Results for event-6a096184c92d815dec073177
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS AGUILAR RIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,51355.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · GUDRUN ROSA MARIA GRIMM HEINICHENANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,79844.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • SAN BERNARDINO ETICO46.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO14.9%
Results for event-52e033c59f6defb440c95ce6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SAN BERNARDINO ETICO · RAMON ZUBIZARRETA ZAPUTOVICHSBEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,87846.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · BRIGIDO SANABRIA VILLANUEVAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,38338.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIGUEL VICENTE ZARATE IRALAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201091914.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

24.790–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.06877299835046, oldest_gap=8.00970873786408, previous_gap=11.329424813817141

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[52.582159624413144,34.51338662606268,0,0,0,5.405405405405405,7.4990483441187665],[44.33528759309143,55.66471240690857,0,0,0,0,0],[38.55987055016181,14.870550161812298,0,0,0,0,46.56957928802589]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[52.582159624413144,34.51338662606268,0,0,0,5.405405405405405,7.4990483441187665],[44.33528759309143,55.66471240690857,0,0,0,0,0],[38.55987055016181,14.870550161812298,0,0,0,0,46.56957928802589]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[52.582159624413144,34.51338662606268,0,0,0,5.405405405405405,7.4990483441187665],[44.33528759309143,55.66471240690857,0,0,0,0,0],[38.55987055016181,14.870550161812298,0,0,0,0,46.56957928802589]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN BERNARDINO / CORDILLERA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-03-029-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.