Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN BERNARDINO / CORDILLERA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN BERNARDINO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-03-029-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN BERNARDINO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-7137ff10f971558051a8044b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO40.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO29.5%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA9.2%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU6.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA4.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO3.9%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.8%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.2%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A0.8%
Results for event-d7b6fdc2b0d800155c634391
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · EMIGDIO FERNANDO RUIZ DIAZ OJEDAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,21440.7%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS AGUILAR RIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,32929.5%4Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · LUIS RAMON AQUINO ESCOBARPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20217249.2%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · DANILO JAVIER FLEITAS SALDIVARCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214906.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213744.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213123.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213043.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021941.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · ELIZABETH CAROLINA AVEIRO DE VITPNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021640.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO33.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO31.7%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL11.4%
  • PARTIDO UNACE10.3%
  • PARTIDO BLANCO10.2%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.7%
Results for event-aa13bcadf67e17a50e545374
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GUDRUN ROSA MARIA GRIMM HEINICHENANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,04333.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS AGUILAR RIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,92631.7%4Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/201568911.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201562410.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO BLANCOPBparaguay/S82789e1ede/201562010.2%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151652.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO40.6%
  • SAN BERNARDINO ETICO38.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO20.8%
Results for event-b542a7b7ab313dc760b920a7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · BRIGIDO SANABRIA VILLANUEVAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,47740.6%5Recorded
SAN BERNARDINO ETICO · RAMON ZUBIZARRETA ZAPUTOVICHSBEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,35538.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIGUEL VICENTE ZARATE IRALAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,27020.8%2Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

62.520–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.195445920303605, oldest_gap=1.999344477220582, previous_gap=1.928465468930277

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[40.65781151170145,29.462365591397848,1.1891208096141683,4.731182795698925,3.8456672991777356,6.1986084756483235,13.915243516761542],[33.673973957474864,31.745508488544587,11.356518872589419,0,10.285149167628152,2.7196307895170597,10.21921872424592],[40.593248115372006,20.812848246476566,0,0,0,0,38.593903638151424]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[40.65781151170145,29.462365591397848,1.1891208096141683,4.731182795698925,3.8456672991777356,6.1986084756483235,13.915243516761542],[33.673973957474864,31.745508488544587,11.356518872589419,0,10.285149167628152,2.7196307895170597,10.21921872424592],[40.593248115372006,20.812848246476566,0,0,0,0,38.593903638151424]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[40.65781151170145,29.462365591397848,1.1891208096141683,4.731182795698925,3.8456672991777356,6.1986084756483235,13.915243516761542],[33.673973957474864,31.745508488544587,11.356518872589419,0,10.285149167628152,2.7196307895170597,10.21921872424592],[40.593248115372006,20.812848246476566,0,0,0,0,38.593903638151424]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN BERNARDINO / CORDILLERA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-03-029-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.