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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

EUSEBIO AYALA / CORDILLERA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · EUSEBIO AYALA / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA · municipal · MayorPY-03-013-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
EUSEBIO AYALA / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-51a8414170d642669f62d351
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL CAMBIO44.0%
  • PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY1.9%
Results for event-0749a7f87e9773f04561a8cc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICTOR MANUEL GIMENEZ INSAURRALDEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,18954.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA PARA EL CAMBIO · GRACIELA AGUILERA RUIZ DIAZAPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,22744%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY · MIGUEL ANTONIO MEDINA RUIZPVPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211831.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO69.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO18.4%
  • PARTIDO UNACE10.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.5%
Results for event-a38bf37d98d6fbc202eece76
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELADIO GIRETT AQUINOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,45269%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · VIDAL AUGUSTO AÑAZCO FULLAONDOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,18718.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ALFIERI MELGAREJO QUINTANAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201565010.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JORGE SEQUEIRA VALLEJOSFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151622.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO55.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO33.8%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS9.5%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU1.2%
Results for event-8f0bb2d9d6ec7439680165c3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GERARDO ROJAS ALMADAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,06255.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DERLIS PEREZ VERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,86233.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ARSENIO SILVA VERAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20105239.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU · DOLLY FAVIOLA ACOSTAAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010661.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.021877278883217, oldest_gap=21.76673317612915, previous_gap=50.612308169276076

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.94percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.0577143452443,0,0,0,0,0,45.94228565475571],[69.01255619283832,18.400248023562238,0,0,10.075957215935514,2.511238567663928,0],[55.541447487756216,33.774714311627065,0,0,9.486667875929621,1.1971703246871033,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.0577143452443,0,0,0,0,0,45.94228565475571],[69.01255619283832,18.400248023562238,0,0,10.075957215935514,2.511238567663928,0],[55.541447487756216,33.774714311627065,0,0,9.486667875929621,1.1971703246871033,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.0577143452443,0,0,0,0,0,45.94228565475571],[69.01255619283832,18.400248023562238,0,0,10.075957215935514,2.511238567663928,0],[55.541447487756216,33.774714311627065,0,0,9.486667875929621,1.1971703246871033,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “EUSEBIO AYALA / CORDILLERA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-03-013-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.