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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ARROYOS Y ESTEROS / CORDILLERA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · ARROYOS Y ESTEROS / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-03-005-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ARROYOS Y ESTEROS / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-0b614390268836fbd1cc1c2c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO59.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.7%
  • PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY1.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.2%
Results for event-e1713d94577cfa2193f9711d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JOSE FILIPPI VERA MARTINEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,21859.1%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ADELIO JOSE ZALDIVAR VERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,87036.8%4Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · CESAR RAMON CACERES SILVACNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211831.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY · LIMPIA CONCEPCION SILGUERO ROAPVPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211311.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211231.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO61.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO32.9%
  • PARTIDO UNACE5.4%
Results for event-9dfba3f12b91c52f679cbccd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LAZARO PURISIMO CONCEPCION OVELARANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,96461.7%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JOSE GABRIEL AVEIRO CENTURIONPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,11532.9%4Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · RAMON NAVARRO FERREIRAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153445.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO38.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS12.3%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.4%
Results for event-f0cef0584a4a17042b5b0b9b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GUSTAVO AMADO ALFONZO PRIETOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,10246.5%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · PEDRO EMILIO LEDEZMA NARVAEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,58238.7%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · OSVALDO GALEANOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201082212.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101582.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.30878859857482, oldest_gap=7.8031212484994015, previous_gap=28.78717110384555

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[59.07838479809976,36.76959619952494,0,1.168646080760095,0,1.7387173396674585,1.2446555819477434],[61.7157091701697,32.92853806632415,0,0,5.35575276350615,0,0],[46.54861944777911,38.74549819927971,0,2.3709483793517405,12.334933973589436,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.17percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[59.07838479809976,36.76959619952494,0,1.168646080760095,0,1.7387173396674585,1.2446555819477434],[61.7157091701697,32.92853806632415,0,0,5.35575276350615,0,0],[46.54861944777911,38.74549819927971,0,2.3709483793517405,12.334933973589436,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[59.07838479809976,36.76959619952494,0,1.168646080760095,0,1.7387173396674585,1.2446555819477434],[61.7157091701697,32.92853806632415,0,0,5.35575276350615,0,0],[46.54861944777911,38.74549819927971,0,2.3709483793517405,12.334933973589436,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ARROYOS Y ESTEROS / CORDILLERA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-03-005-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.