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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

1RO. DE MARZO / CORDILLERA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · 1RO. DE MARZO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA · municipal · MayorPY-03-001-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
1RO. DE MARZO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-8efe8b661a8c6fcff9fd852d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO46.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO40.7%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PRIMEREÑA PARA EL CAMBIO12.5%
Results for event-5cbe784fe66d4027ec4ff932
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE AGUERO ARRIOLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,35546.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · AURELIO MANUEL VERA FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,18040.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PRIMEREÑA PARA EL CAMBIO · JUAN GILBERTO SOSA TORRESUPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/202136112.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO55.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.6%
Results for event-bc68925670eef786aeb356a0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE AGUERO ARRIOLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,43755.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARICIO MEDINA ZARACHOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,15544.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO59.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO29.2%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS10.9%
Results for event-6552145976cd4d1bb2aa8fad
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE AGUERO ARRIOLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,39959.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICTOR PASCUAL GAYOSO SOSAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201068129.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MARIA VITALINA ROLON BARRIOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201025410.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

50.170–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.042817679558013, oldest_gap=30.762639245929734, previous_gap=10.879629629629633

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[40.74585635359116,46.78867403314917,0,0,0,0,12.465469613259668],[44.56018518518518,55.43981481481482,0,0,0,0,0],[29.177377892030847,59.94001713796058,0,0,10.882604970008568,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[40.74585635359116,46.78867403314917,0,0,0,0,12.465469613259668],[44.56018518518518,55.43981481481482,0,0,0,0,0],[29.177377892030847,59.94001713796058,0,0,10.882604970008568,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[40.74585635359116,46.78867403314917,0,0,0,0,12.465469613259668],[44.56018518518518,55.43981481481482,0,0,0,0,0],[29.177377892030847,59.94001713796058,0,0,10.882604970008568,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “1RO. DE MARZO / CORDILLERA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-03-001-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.