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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

1RO. DE MARZO / CORDILLERA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · 1RO. DE MARZO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-03-001-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
1RO. DE MARZO / CORDILLERA / CORDILLERA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-bd39be5088830910ad3a5c8f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO31.2%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PRIMEREÑA PARA EL CAMBIO20.1%
Results for event-e7583d8ca98f86da9dc85254
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE AGUERO ARRIOLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,41448.8%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · AURELIO MANUEL VERA FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202190431.2%3Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PRIMEREÑA PARA EL CAMBIO · JUAN GILBERTO SOSA TORRESUPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/202158220.1%2Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO46.3%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO29.1%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS21.4%
  • PARTIDO UNACE3.2%
Results for event-3a5d6c38dc7226cb50f8d3ff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE AGUERO ARRIOLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,16546.3%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARICIO MEDINA ZARACHOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201573229.1%3Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/201553921.4%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015803.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO54.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO27.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS12.1%
  • FRENTE GUASU5.9%
Results for event-cb4f056f0fea75da9b141348
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE AGUERO ARRIOLAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,25754.9%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICTOR PASCUAL GAYOSO SOSAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201062027.1%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MARIA VITALINA ROLON BARRIOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201027812.1%1Recorded
FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101345.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

7.510–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.586206896551726, oldest_gap=27.828746177370032, previous_gap=17.209856915739266

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

4.53percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[31.17241379310345,48.758620689655174,0,0,0,0,20.06896551724138],[29.093799682034977,46.30365659777424,0,0,3.179650238473768,0,21.42289348171701],[27.08606378331149,54.914809960681524,0,0,12.145041502839668,5.854084753167322,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[31.17241379310345,48.758620689655174,0,0,0,0,20.06896551724138],[29.093799682034977,46.30365659777424,0,0,3.179650238473768,0,21.42289348171701],[27.08606378331149,54.914809960681524,0,0,12.145041502839668,5.854084753167322,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[31.17241379310345,48.758620689655174,0,0,0,0,20.06896551724138],[29.093799682034977,46.30365659777424,0,0,3.179650238473768,0,21.42289348171701],[27.08606378331149,54.914809960681524,0,0,12.145041502839668,5.854084753167322,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “1RO. DE MARZO / CORDILLERA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-03-001-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.