Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YRYBUCUA / SAN PEDRO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YRYBUCUA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · MayorPY-02-032-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YRYBUCUA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-41748d7ef75e5d5f13a824cd
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO44.0%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL2.0%
Results for event-38cfd1631abfbc9e25de2ab3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SERGIO MORAN CACERESANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,96254%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN ARNALDO DOMINGUEZ CACERESPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,41244%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · PABLINO ACUÑA MORELPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211122%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO54.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO42.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.3%
Results for event-fa7707328711547ca81b7abc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN FRANCISCO RECALDE LOPEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,67154.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · RICARDO BAEZ MARTINEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,06442.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · FELIX IGNACIO BLANCO CRISTALDOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151633.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO47.2%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO33.8%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS14.1%
  • FRENTE GUASU4.9%
Results for event-8b6c2775be92628aba3d9fe7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALBERTO CHAMORRO OLMEDOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,56147.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICENTE CAJE MENDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,11833.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · BERTILIO BARRETO VILLARUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201046714.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · MANUEL BRITOS RAMIREZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101624.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2003-04-27 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

44.640–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.025519504192488, oldest_gap=13.391777509068923, previous_gap=12.392813393221722

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.991979584396645,43.96646008020416,0,0,0,0,2.041560335399198],[42.139648836259695,54.53246222948142,0,0,0,3.327888934258881,0],[33.796856106408704,47.18863361547763,0,0,14.117291414752117,4.897218863361548,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.991979584396645,43.96646008020416,0,0,0,0,2.041560335399198],[42.139648836259695,54.53246222948142,0,0,0,3.327888934258881,0],[33.796856106408704,47.18863361547763,0,0,14.117291414752117,4.897218863361548,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.79percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.991979584396645,43.96646008020416,0,0,0,0,2.041560335399198],[42.139648836259695,54.53246222948142,0,0,0,3.327888934258881,0],[33.796856106408704,47.18863361547763,0,0,14.117291414752117,4.897218863361548,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YRYBUCUA / SAN PEDRO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-032-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.