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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YRYBUCUA / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YRYBUCUA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · Municipal councilPY-02-032-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YRYBUCUA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-d10542a17878a32f318b8ed2
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO42.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.9%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL1.7%
Results for event-497f07949ecdda22ef781ace
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SERGIO MORAN CACERESANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,98153.9%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN ARNALDO DOMINGUEZ CACERESPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,35542.5%5Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211071.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · PABLINO ACUÑA MORELPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021921.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO50.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO34.9%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS7.6%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU6.8%
Results for event-91a67b2f436e1c6723dcf620
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN FRANCISCO RECALDE LOPEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,35350.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · RICARDO BAEZ MARTINEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,61834.9%4Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153527.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · FELIX IGNACIO BLANCO CRISTALDOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153156.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO43.3%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO32.8%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS15.6%
  • FRENTE GUASU8.3%
Results for event-09bea804a963bf9822b6078e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALBERTO CHAMORRO OLMEDOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,40143.3%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICENTE CAJE MENDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,06332.8%3Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · BERTILIO BARRETO VILLARUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201050415.6%1Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · MANUEL BRITOS RAMIREZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102698.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2003-04-27 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

37.080–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.309846431797652, oldest_gap=10.441767068273094, previous_gap=15.847347994825355

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.97percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.8572719060524,42.547425474254744,0,0,0,1.933152664859982,1.6621499548328817],[34.88572660629582,50.733074601121174,0,0,0,6.791720569210867,7.589478223372143],[32.839048501699104,43.2808155699722,0,0,15.56997219647822,8.310163731850478,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.8572719060524,42.547425474254744,0,0,0,1.933152664859982,1.6621499548328817],[34.88572660629582,50.733074601121174,0,0,0,6.791720569210867,7.589478223372143],[32.839048501699104,43.2808155699722,0,0,15.56997219647822,8.310163731850478,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.8572719060524,42.547425474254744,0,0,0,1.933152664859982,1.6621499548328817],[34.88572660629582,50.733074601121174,0,0,0,6.791720569210867,7.589478223372143],[32.839048501699104,43.2808155699722,0,0,15.56997219647822,8.310163731850478,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YRYBUCUA / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-032-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.