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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN PABLO / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN PABLO / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · Municipal councilPY-02-023-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN PABLO / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-398d9fe148e67a2051875e35
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.6%
  • ALIANZA SAN PABLO PARA TODOS36.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU8.0%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO3.0%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV SOCIALISMO2.1%
Results for event-e641ce31e5ff9f78ef7d5251
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LOURDES CONCEPCION ALCARAZ PERALTAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,14146.6%5Recorded
ALIANZA SAN PABLO PARA TODOS · JORGE ARNALDO CODAS DAVALOSSPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/202188836.3%4Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211958%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021984%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · TIMOTEO ACOSTA RAMIREZPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021743%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV SOCIALISMOPMASparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021512.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU31.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO27.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO15.3%
  • PARTIDO UNACE15.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA9.2%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU1.6%
Results for event-45124e914c0e2a69cbe3d27b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · ANTONIO PERALTA REYESFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201561031.4%3Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · VICTOR GUERRERO RUIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201553327.5%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ANDRES CABAÑAS MORELPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201529715.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · AMADO FERNANDEZ ROAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201529115%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · RICARDO PERALTA ROTELAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151789.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU · EMILIANO ROA DELVALLEPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015311.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DEMOCRATA40.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO22.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO12.1%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA8.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA8.2%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS8.1%
Results for event-8749b3fd6843104ba8469cd6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DEMOCRATA · VICTOR GUERRERO RUIZPSDparaguay/S82789e1ede/201068140.7%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · TERESIO GONZALEZ ZARATEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201037822.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EPIFANIO CABAÑAS SAINZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201020212.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · LUCAS EGIDIO PERALTA GONZALEZPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101398.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101388.2%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CEPRIANO JAVIER PESOA VERAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101368.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

53.980–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.339190845933793, oldest_gap=18.10035842293907, previous_gap=3.9690721649484537

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[46.62852472415202,0,0,0,4.004903964037597,7.968941561095218,41.39762975071517],[27.47422680412371,15.309278350515465,0,0,15,31.443298969072163,10.773195876288659],[22.580645161290324,12.066905615292711,0,0,8.124253285543608,0,57.228195937873366]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[46.62852472415202,0,0,0,4.004903964037597,7.968941561095218,41.39762975071517],[27.47422680412371,15.309278350515465,0,0,15,31.443298969072163,10.773195876288659],[22.580645161290324,12.066905615292711,0,0,8.124253285543608,0,57.228195937873366]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.12percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[46.62852472415202,0,0,0,4.004903964037597,7.968941561095218,41.39762975071517],[27.47422680412371,15.309278350515465,0,0,15,31.443298969072163,10.773195876288659],[22.580645161290324,12.066905615292711,0,0,8.124253285543608,0,57.228195937873366]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN PABLO / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-023-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.