Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

NUEVA GERMANIA / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · NUEVA GERMANIA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · Municipal councilPY-02-019-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
NUEVA GERMANIA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-c6f3ed02268a5e0557ca4c04
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO58.8%
  • ALIANZA POR NUEVA GERMANIA21.8%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO10.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU6.3%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.4%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV SOCIALISMO0.7%
Results for event-bf3290d9b9d6702a6a41ba9e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ALICIA GONZALEZ DE SAIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,13158.8%6Recorded
ALIANZA POR NUEVA GERMANIA · NERY STERN CALDERONANGparaguay/S82789e1ede/202178921.8%2Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · GERARDO RAFAEL SAIZ SILVERAPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/202136610.1%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212276.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021862.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV SOCIALISMOPMASparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021260.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO65.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO24.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE9.5%
Results for event-38cc73ca96278b7d77560378
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ALICIA GONZALEZ DE SAIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,65965.8%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GASPAR STERN CALDERONPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201562224.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152399.5%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO47.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO29.2%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS10.3%
  • CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU8.6%
  • ALIANZA GUAZU GERMANINA4.6%
Results for event-52506e0a51b09356cc2dc1aa
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LEONARDO SAIZ ARCEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,13847.2%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DIOSNEL FISCHER PAOLIPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201070529.2%3Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JUAN CARLOS DIAZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201024910.3%1Recorded
CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU · PEDRO PABLO CABALLERO DENISFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102088.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA GUAZU GERMANINAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101114.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=37.02068965517242, oldest_gap=17.959352965574453, previous_gap=41.150793650793645

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[58.786206896551725,0,0,0,2.372413793103448,6.2620689655172415,32.57931034482759],[65.83333333333333,24.682539682539684,0,0,9.484126984126984,0,0],[47.200331812525924,29.24097884695147,0,0,10.327664869348817,8.627125673994193,4.6038987971795935]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[58.786206896551725,0,0,0,2.372413793103448,6.2620689655172415,32.57931034482759],[65.83333333333333,24.682539682539684,0,0,9.484126984126984,0,0],[47.200331812525924,29.24097884695147,0,0,10.327664869348817,8.627125673994193,4.6038987971795935]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[58.786206896551725,0,0,0,2.372413793103448,6.2620689655172415,32.57931034482759],[65.83333333333333,24.682539682539684,0,0,9.484126984126984,0,0],[47.200331812525924,29.24097884695147,0,0,10.327664869348817,8.627125673994193,4.6038987971795935]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “NUEVA GERMANIA / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-019-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.